yeah thats my point about the 3-0, Astralis and Liquid are a 99% chance of going through imo either 3-0 or 3-1 but if they both get upset in a Bo1 then they might not go through 3-0 and if you picked them as a 3-0 you lose the pick even if they go through.
i personally picked Renegades as my 3-0 pick, not because im Australian but because i was actually really impressed with them in the challenger stage, them and NRG where the best 2 teams in that stage and deserved the 3-0, and Renegades executes looked really strong, and i was especially impressed with there pistol strats. for me it was a really hard pick for that last spot in the 7 between Ence and Renegades but i picked Ence as the 7th spot and put Renegades to 3-0, the reason i did this is i actually think they both could go through but i think renegades have a higher chance of going 3-0 then ence do so i did a gamble and went Renegades to 3-0 and Ence to qualify for the legends stage.
my other picks are
MIBR (got a bit harder after the liquid pick as those are the only 2 standout teams atm)
Navi (its a major and i get the feeling S1mple will carry hard, and if Electronic plays well they will go through)
Ence (was between them and Renegades IMO with Vitality being an outside chance but i went with 3-0 renegades and ence in the 7th spot)
0-3 i went with complexity, nothing against them but they just look like the weakest team on the list.
thats just my thinking behind my picks.