Upcoming "Tier 1" Tournaments (Unfortunately must include Tier 1.5 Blast)
BLAST LA: Liquid win with EliGe or Twistzz MVP
IEM Chicago: Liquid win with EliGe MVP unless ZywOo goes huge again
Starladder Major: Liquid will be the favourites but depending on who they face on what happens I could see any of NaVi, Liquid, Vitality, Astralis, ENCE winning. So unless ZywOo repeats his IEM Katowice performance and is barely relevant, the MVP candidates will likely be:
ZywOo, s1mple, dev1ce/Magisk, Naf/Twistzz/Elige or sergej
BLAST Moscow: At this stage ENCE/NaVi have the best chances so expect s1mple MVP (even if he loses lol)
ESL One New York: Too early to tell, especially as we don't know if NaVi will attend, though who knows.
It's too early to tell for anything including and after New York at this stage, but given the events coming up....
the Top 3 will likely remain identical unless Astralis make a major return to form or ENCE decides to play well again. The major will likely be a very important event in determining who out of EliGe, s1mple or ZywOo has the best chances or being #1.