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Rudy's plays 7/3/20
United States RudyToody99 
I had a solid day today going 5-3 including the two added plays and hitting 3 plays at underdog prices and losing very little juice on the losers. There always seems to be one play lately that is a tough beat to keep from a monster day. Heoric up 15-11 on Nuke vs Fnatic 5 v 4 with bomb down early against a C+ buy from Fnatic lose that round and all hell breaks loose from there. Also got a lucky one with OG/Godsent Over 2.5 in an improbable back asswards way. One day all the chips will fall the right way, I'll just keep plugging away. The profit on $100 flat bettor is up to $756 on the thread and added solo map plays if you can catch them. On to tomorrow. Apex +1.5 -116 vs Nemiga...This line has already moved up 15 cents from when I got it earlier. If it gets higher than -135 don't play it. Situational play here. Nemiga played like 3 or 4 matches yesterday ending late and this is the first game after a long ass day of intense counter strike. I am sure they are used to playing video games all day, but tournament games gotta be more mentally draining. Nemiga will be on short sleep and may not even get breakfast in before this game. I think Apex can catch Nemiga going through the motions on a map. Also, Apex has stepped up and played a bit better than usual of late. Heroic -130 vs OG...Heroic have a more maps they can hang their hats on have a probable victory. Heroic have been playing well for a while now at 71% winning percentage over the last 3 months which is impressive for CSGO. OG have turned it on of late and are playing above their heads a bit. I like this number and I think that Heroic has the cleaner game play with fewer mistakes. I think Heroic has the higher ceiling too. EG -115 vs Liquid...Going back to the well with EG. Don't fail me now EG, but I won't be mad if you do because one loss won't ruin all the tickets I have won on them lately. They are playing the best CSGO in NA right now and with this is still a fair price due to the name Liquid as the opponent, I like it. EG took a page out of Furia's book to handle Liquid last match by being fast paced and aggressive. Liquid has struggled against aggression over the past few months. Keep that streak going EG. Fnatic/Godsent Over 2.5 maps +111....I am banking on Inferno for Fnatic and Nuke for Godsent if they choose those maps. Or do it back asswards, I really don't care how it gets there, just get me 3 maps in this one. As for a side it would be a dog or pass situation for me. Fnatic aren't worth that price because you never know what you are gonna get from them. Win an Eco and lose an anti eco the very next round. That is Fnatic in a nut shell. Tikitakan -158 vs Brute...Brute have nobody that stands out. In these lower level CSGO matches, one or two guys can take over and win the game by themselves because their individual talent is just so much higher. Brute have yet to really step up in competition and be competitive. Brute have a 31% win rate in 42 matches, that is a pretty good sample size to show they still are a team that is gonna struggle more than perform well. I think this line should be around -200, so I see some value here on Tikiakan who has played and beaten better comp. Tip of the day, have multiple sportsbooks to get the best number you can. For instance, I have Betnow, Bookmaker, Heritage, and Bovada. One example is if you like Crazy +1.5 vs Nemiga is +1.5 +127 at Betnow, +1.5 -111 on Bookmaker, and +1.5 +134 on Heritage. That is a big ass difference and you are putting yourself at a disadvantage if you are betting the -111 instead of the +134. Maximize you profits and minimize your losses people. All those pennies add up at the end of the year. You can even arbitrage if you want to as well by risking nothing, bet $120 to win $100 on Nemiga -1.5 -120 on Bookmaker and then bet $100 to win $134 on Crazy +1.5 +134 at Heritage. That is a freeroll to win $14 if Crazy wins a map, if they don't, you break even. I appreciate the contributions from people in the thread, it helps everyone out including myself. Good luck everyone, bet smart and enjoy your weekend.
2020-07-03 07:35
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Germany teenheat
100% with you on the heroic pick, feeling pretty confident on that one. Any thoughts on the Vitality v BIG game?
2020-07-03 12:11 Big online, there are no thoughts to be had. Blowout wins. Watch.
2020-07-03 12:15
I feel like OG vs Heroic is more like a coin flip and it's tempting to get the dog odds but i aint going against our Maestro.. but rather going for over 2.5 maps instead
2020-07-03 13:42
Always up to you what you do. The later the tournament goes the tighter everyone gets. I could see some over 26.5 on solo maps too.
2020-07-03 15:55
It is gonna be an awesome match, def one worth to watch. Both teams are playing great. I would slightly lean to Big since the line dropped a little just due to them being a bit more consistent lately. I am not betting it, when two bet on teams match up I usually just pass and enjoy because the line it typically spot on. Probably individual map plays or live is the way to go in that one.
2020-07-03 16:03
Germany teenheat
Yeah I might just sit back and enjoy the game, should be a banger!
2020-07-03 16:30
Canada sad_face
Can you explain those numbers? For example Apex +1.5 -116 vs Nemiga -> +1.5 is map handicap? Then what's -116?
2020-07-03 12:38
Germany teenheat
american odds format. -116 means you'd have to wager 116$ to win 100$. +116 you'd have to wager 100$ to win 116$
2020-07-03 13:52
Canada sad_face
thanks for explanation, captain!
2020-07-03 14:07
There are calculators online if you need some help to convert. Thanks for helping teenheat
2020-07-03 15:53
Canada sad_face
That's really helpful, thanks!
2020-07-03 16:45
Apek +1.5 when I checked was around -167 so I said screw it and bet them to win at +220 instead lol. Speaking of kicking the dog when it's down.. i'm gonna take a stab at Crazy +1.5 vs Nemiga at +110.
2020-07-03 14:44
Nice hit, I usually sprinkle some on the moneyline too. I should have, the spot was perfect for Apex to catch Nemiga.
2020-07-03 15:58
Nemiga might have finally squeezed in a decent meal and good nap by this point haha. I do like betting on Crazy a lot.
2020-07-03 16:09
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Mike Tysons
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