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asteroid to hit earth in 2029?
f0rest | 
Italy morpheus0 
On April 13, 2029, Apophis will pass Earth closer than geosynchronous communication satellites, but will come no closer than 31,200 kilometres (19,400 mi) above Earth's surface.[11] The 3-sigma uncertainty region in the 2029 approach distance is about ±700 km.[1] The 2029 pass will be much closer than the center of the large uncertainty region predicted in 2004 when the observation arc was very short, but well within that region.[10] Using the August 2017 orbit solution which includes the Yarkovsky effect, the approach in late March 2036 will be no closer than 0.056 AU (8.4 million km; 5.2 million mi), but more likely about 0.2361 AU (35.32 million km; 21.95 million mi).[1] In the 2060s Apophis is expected to again closely approach Earth in 2066.[1][26] On the risk-listed date of April 12, 2068, Apophis could be more than 1.5 AU (220 million km) from Earth, making the asteroid further than the Sun.[27] On April 12, 2068, the odds of impact are 1 in 150,000 in large part because the line of variation (LOV) extends over 840 million km.[28] **interestingly enough, scientists gave the date 2030 as last time window for the climate change issue, if it wasn't fixed before 2030 (and it won't cause no one is doing anything to fix it) the consequences would be planetary and unavoidable, so if climate change doesn't kill us don't worry, we still have Apophis ***TLDR: On April 13, 2029, an asteroid of 430 meters will pass very very very close to earth, about 30000 km from earth, for reference the moon is 384000 km away
2020-07-12 20:14
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user checks out A statistical impact risk analysis of the data up to this point calculated that the odds of the 2036 impact at 7.07 in a billion, effectively ruling it out. The same study looked at the odds of an impact in 2068, which were calculated at 2.27 in a million.[56] With the most recent 2015 observations, the April 12, 2068, impact probability is now 6.7 in a million (1 in 150,000), and the asteroid has a cumulative 9-in-a-million (1-in-110,000) chance of impacting Earth before 2106 we should panic
2020-07-12 20:17
funny how with each recent observation the chance is increasingly higher 30k km is incredibly close, it will be visible to naked eye and we don't know if this prediction is 100% accurate
2020-07-12 20:18
??? > Goldstone single-pixel observations of Apophis have ruled out the potential 2036 Earth impact. Apophis will then come no closer than about 23 million kilometres (14×106 mi)—and more likely miss us by something closer to 56 million kilometres (35×106 mi)
2020-07-12 20:20
why you keep citing 2036? 2029 will be the closest by far
2020-07-12 20:20
> Additional observations provided improved predictions that eliminated the possibility of an impact on Earth or the Moon in 2029. ???
2020-07-12 20:21
and you believe it? lol 9 years from now the trajectory could change 1000 times the current estimation is 30000 km which is incredibly close
2020-07-12 20:22
Should i believe a hltv conspiracist over trusted astronomers?
2020-07-12 20:27
do you think nasa will tell you billions of people will die in 2029 if they know it?
2020-07-12 20:29
Do you think only NASA observes asteroids like this? Do you think thousands of astronomers from all over the world are lying to us? omg look how many times we died in the last few years
2020-07-12 20:32
you think any private astronomer would be able to access a VLT structure? seriously?
2020-07-12 20:34
Who is talking about private astronomers? Every country has multiple observatories capable of observing/tracking asteroids. There are even 3 of them in my city.
2020-07-12 20:37
except they are nowhere powerful as the nasa structures
2020-07-12 20:39
You can do it yourself, you can even help NASA.
2020-07-12 20:41
help how exactly? by giving them money and saying goodbye?
2020-07-12 20:43
morpheus is a bit dumb let him be
2020-07-12 20:23
#13 nt
2020-07-12 20:23
"9 years from now the trajectory could change 1000 times" literally said it yourself
2020-07-12 20:24
yes? and could be even closer than 30k km
2020-07-12 20:26
yeah there is also 1/1000000000000000000000000 chance of you winning the lottery
2020-07-12 20:27
the asteroid has more chance to hit than you winning the lottery lol
2020-07-12 20:44
yeah instead of 1 out of 1000000000000000000000000000 it is 1 out of 10000000000000000000000
2020-07-12 20:44
1 in 160 millions
2020-07-12 20:45
yeah we have to be too lucky for the asteroid to hit
2020-07-12 20:46
yeah i know but its funny to talk with him
2020-07-12 20:27
you think im a clown? you think this is a big joke?
2020-07-12 20:59
well i would feel really bad for you if you were not joking
2020-07-12 21:05
of course because u have 0 arguments
2020-07-12 22:46
your only argument is your own opinion my arguments are based on science, facts and logic
2020-07-12 22:48
science facts and logic is that so? your best counter argument to nasa mega telescopes was "you can donate money btw" look mom im helping
2020-07-12 22:49
Maybe you should read our conversation again instead of cherry picking. #26 kinda rekt your whole baseless argument of NASA hiding the truth
2020-07-12 22:52
your #26 was useless only nasa and similiar government agencies have powerful enough infrastructure to tell what's gonna happen and certainly they wouldn't make the world panic
2020-07-12 23:05
So you are telling me that tens of thousands of astronomers from hundreds of countries are lying? How delusional are you? here is the exact position available for everyone
2020-07-12 23:10
its actually being realistic you seriously think a government would say "hey btw we have a giant asteroid about to hit us in a couple years, dont panic :)" cmon u cant be that dense
2020-07-12 23:10
So you are telling me that tens of thousands of astronomers from hundreds of countries know about an asteroid thats about to hit the earth and none of them ever told anyone? cmon u cant be that dense
2020-07-12 23:12
#51 can u read?
2020-07-12 23:14
#52 #54 can u read? Observatories like the one that spotted Apophis are all around the world in every single country so what are you on about?
2020-07-12 23:24
son of dog, u at my list
2020-07-12 23:16
u got the reference <3
2020-07-13 01:10
+1 Stopped reading at morpheus0
2020-07-12 20:22
hltv worst baiter yekindar smh
2020-07-12 20:22
2020-07-12 20:32
one can only hope
2020-07-12 20:15
Argentina druwugs
yeah april 2020 too
2020-07-12 20:15
2020-07-12 20:17
Europe Rawrcakes
So what was the point of this forum thread again? You made a question statement, then answered it yourself, proving yourself wrong.
2020-07-12 20:17
reading is hard i guess it's just a prediction made in 2016, no one know for sure how close it will be in 2029, it could be even closer
2020-07-12 20:19
Europe Rawrcakes
No i'm asking what's the point. There is nothing to incite a debate in this post. It's just a thought that proved to be wrong and you're spending time sharing it.. Why?
2020-07-12 20:28
read above
2020-07-12 20:35
sounds like you're having a rough day mate... cheer up!
2020-07-12 20:45
yeah right, we won't be killed by and asteroid soon
2020-07-12 20:24
????? content
2020-07-12 20:26
Expected from morpheus0
2020-07-12 21:22
go back to your corrida
2020-07-12 22:46
2020-07-12 23:21
shrek | 
Nigeria S_I_O
2020-07-12 22:50
Canada sad_face
You sound like a tabloid's clickbait and I say this as a person who is interested in astronomy.
2020-07-12 22:52
i should be doing journalism then
2020-07-12 23:02
Canada sad_face
well you have talent in that way
2020-07-12 23:19
nice bait. "initial observations indicated a probability of up to 2.7% that it would hit Earth on April 13, 2029" 2.7% chance!!!!! WORLDS GONNNAAA ENDDD!!!!!!!!!!!
2020-07-12 22:53
tbh 2.7% chance is very high
2020-07-12 23:14
It really isn't. It wont hit in 2029 and it wont hit in 2036. "NASA scientists announced today (Jan. 10). The chances of an impact in 2036 are less than one in a million, they added."
2020-07-12 23:24
asteroid was about to hit earth 100 times in the last 30 years before and it never happened.
2020-07-12 23:16
just live ur life to the fullest, so one day if supernova errupts or blackhole snacks us, u can say son i made the best out of this experience.
2020-07-12 23:17
Denmark Dust_2_Go
Yeah but like there are multiple ways to be 100% sure to avoid it. Chsnge it's course with Laser/bombs/gravitation pull/rocket. Also it's in 9 yearsb bro.
2020-07-12 23:26
"2015 observations As of January 2019, Apophis has not been observed since 2015, mostly because its orbit has kept it very near the Sun from the perspective of Earth. It has never been further than 60 degrees from the Sun since April 2014, and will remain so until December 2019. With the most recent 2015 observations, the April 12, 2068, impact probability is now 6.7 in a million (1 in 150,000), and the asteroid has a cumulative 9-in-a-million (1-in-110,000) chance of impacting Earth before 2106.[42]" For asteroid impact chances, this ones' are pretty good!
2020-07-13 01:29
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