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EU RMR simulation stats
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Brazil cauby 
It's me again, the guy that did the simulation for NA chances to qualify for the major. I want to thank all the feedback that you guys did, I even created a twitter page @csgo_statistic to post more stats with details. So, let me clear somethings about EU. There are 24 teams, 14 already have points and 1st-11th place will get points, this result in a lot of scenarios, a number close to 15 fatorial, NA was just arround 6 fatorial. As you can see this is a lot scenarios, so I won't post everyone. And even with cuts it's too much data, So i'll use only the relevant scenarios for all teams. Hope you guys enjoy, and if you want to know how your team can qualify just put the team below and I'll be posting.
2021-09-23 20:32
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OG, please, mr. cauby :)
2021-09-23 20:35
8 replies
+1
2021-09-23 20:36
1 reply
#8
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Brazil cauby
Only relevant scenarios. Without depending on other teams placement: 1st-3rd place --> They play at least as Challengers. 4th - 9th --> They play at least as Contenders. Now we start the danger path, they no longer can play the major with only their placement, they need other teams. 10th --> Mouz, G2 and Heroic can pass OG even without making points. So they need at least 3 teams to fulfill these conditions. Group A: G2 / Mouz 1-11th. FPX / Big 12th+. Aura / CPH Flames 8th+. Group B: Heroic 1-11th. Complexity 11th+. Astralis 12th+. Sinnes / Movistar / EndPoint 8th+ Groups C: Vitality 12th+. Sprout 11th+. Dignitas / Ence / Mad Lions 8th+ Group D: Nip / Double Poney 12th+. Fnatic 11th+. Faze 9th+. Skade / Fiend 8th+ 11th --> Mouz, G2, Heroic, NIP, Vitality can pass OG even without making points. So they need at least 5 teams to fulfill these conditions. Group A: G2 / Mouz 1-11th. FPX / Big 12th+. Aura / CPH Flames 9th+. Group B: Heroic 1-11th. Complexity / Astralis 12th+. Sinnes / Movistar / EndPoint 9th+ Group C: Vitality 1-11th+. Sprout 12th+. Dignitas / Ence / Mad Lions 9th+ Group D: Nip 1-11th. Double Poney / Fnatic 12th+. Faze 10th+. Skade / Fiend 9th+ If they finish 12th+ they no longer have chances to play at Majors.
2021-09-23 21:41
2 replies
#13
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Brazil cauby
thanks to linking my twette, OG was a nice one to do. I play more dota 2 than Cs, So I wanna see the odds of the boys to have both a Major and a Ti.
2021-09-23 22:16
1 reply
#14
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Argentina WaSTe_D
im hoping they make it aswell, thanks for the info.
2021-09-23 22:17
#66
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Brazil cauby
Only relevant scenarios. Without depending on other teams placement: 1st-3rd place --> They play at least as Challengers. 4th - 9th --> They play at least as Contenders. Now we start the danger path, they no longer can play the major with only their placement, they need other teams. 10th --> Mouz, G2 and Heroic can pass OG even without making points. So they need at least 3 teams to fulfill these conditions. Group A: G2 / Mouz 1-11th. FPX / Big 12th+. Aura / CPH Flames 8th+. Group B: Heroic 1-11th. Complexity 11th+. Astralis 12th+. Sinnes / Movistar / EndPoint 8th+ Groups C: Vitality 12th+. Sprout 11th+. Dignitas / Ence / Mad Lions 8th+ Group D: Nip / Double Poney 12th+. Fnatic 11th+. Faze 9th+. Skade / Fiend 8th+
2021-09-24 05:23
1 reply
#67
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Brazil cauby
11th --> Mouz, G2, Heroic, NIP, Vitality can pass OG even without making points. So they need at least 5 teams to fulfill these conditions. Group A: G2 / Mouz 1-11th. FPX / Big 12th+. Aura / CPH Flames 9th+. Group B: Heroic 1-11th. Complexity / Astralis 12th+. Sinnes / Movistar / EndPoint 9th+ Group C: Vitality 1-11th+. Sprout 12th+. Dignitas / Ence / Mad Lions 9th+ Group D: Nip 1-11th. Double Poney / Fnatic 12th+. Faze 10th+. Skade / Fiend 9th+ If they finish 12th+ they no longer have chances to play at Majors.
2021-09-24 05:23
#2
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Finland Ninjamaa
that's cool to hear
2021-09-23 20:35
Vitality
2021-09-23 20:35
1 reply
#9
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Brazil cauby
You are safe French boy, Vitality has a nice group, and also are playing like monster. But, let's see some cool scenarios. Without depending on other teams placement: 1st-3rd place --> They at least play as Legends 4th- 11th -->They play at least as Challengers. 12th+ This is the sleep monster of a lot of teams, but no so much for Viltality. They need at least 4 teams to fulfill these conditions, kind of easy right? Group A: G2 / Mouz 1-11th. FPX / Big 12th+. Aura / CPH Flames 8th+. Group B: Heroic 1-11th. Complexity / Astralis 12th+. Sinnes / Movistar / EndPoint 8th+ Group C: OG / Sprout 11th+. Dignitas / Ence / Mad Lions 8th+ Group D: Nip 1-11th. Double Poney 12th+. Fnatic / Faze 10th+. Skade / Fiend 8th+
2021-09-23 21:59
Ninjas and DBLP
2021-09-23 20:37
3 replies
#17
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Brazil cauby
First NIP. Without depending on other teams placement: 1st-3rd place --> They at least play as Legends 4th- 11th -->They play at least as Challengers. 12th+ They still have good chances. They need at least 3 teams to fulfill these conditions, kind of easy right? Group A: G2 / Mouz 1-11th. FPX / Big 12th+. Aura / CPH Flames 8th+. Group B: Heroic 1-11th. Complexity 11th+. Astralis 12th+. Sinnes / Movistar / EndPoint 8th+ Group C: Vitality 11th+. OG / Sprout 11th+. Dignitas / Ence / Mad Lions 8th+ Group D: Double Poney 12th+. Fnatic / Faze 10th+. Skade / Fiend 8th+
2021-09-23 22:51
2 replies
lets be honest though do we really expect NiP to get worse than 11th?
2021-09-24 08:02
1 reply
#73
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Brazil cauby
Of course not, and this is good for the teams with 0 points.
2021-09-24 17:15
#6
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Bulgaria Bulg1us
BIG, CPH flames
2021-09-23 20:37
8 replies
#88
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Brazil cauby
Sorry I thought that I already answear the early posts. BIG Without depending on other teams placement: 1st place --> They at least play as Legends 4th- 8th -->They at least play as Challengers. 9th- 11th -->They at least play as Challengers. 12th+ Just don’t give up! They need at least 4 teams to fulfill these conditions, because of them being in group A this is not so hard to happen. Group A: G2 / Mouz 1-11th. FPX 12th+ Aura / CPH Flames 11th+. Group B: Heroic 1-11th. Complexity / Astralis 12th+. Sinners / Movistar / EndPoint 8th+ Group C: Vitality 1-11th. OG / Sprout 12th+. Dignitas / Ence / Mad Lions 11th+ Group D: Nip 1-11th. Double Poney / Fnatic / Faze 12th+. Skade / Fiend 11th+
2021-09-26 02:55
#89
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Brazil cauby
Before I make the next, dude why this 2 teams? Do you hate brazilians? I can't handle losing to then in EU, now you want me to see they win in the Major? CPH Flames. 1st-6th placement secures a slot on the Major. The drama starts here at 7th place. 7th --> Mouz, G2 and Heroic can pass CPH Flames even without making points. So, they need at least 3 teams to fulfill these conditions. Group A: G2 / Mouz 1-11th. FPX / Big 12th+. Aura 8th+. Group B: Heroic 1-11th. Complexity 10th+. Astralis 12th+. Movistar Riders / Sinners / EndPoint 8th+ Groups C: Vitality 12th+. OG 10th+. Sprout 11th+. Dignitas / Ence / Mad Lions 8th+ Group D: Nip / Double Poney 12th+. Faze / Fnatic 9th+. Skade / Fiend 8th+ 8th -->Mouz, G2, Heroic, NIP, Vitality can pass CPH Flames even without making points. So, they need at least 5 teams to fulfill these conditions. Group A: G2 / Mouz 1-11th. FPX / Big 12th+. Aura / 9th+. Group B: Heroic 1-11th. Complexity 11th+. Astralis 12th+. Movistar Riders / Sinners / EndPoint 9th+ Group C: Vitality 1-11th+. OG 11th+. Sprout 12th+. Dignitas / Ence / Mad Lions 9th+ Group D: Nip 1-11th. Double Poney 12th+. Faze / Fnatic 10th+. Skade / Fiend 9th+
2021-09-26 03:18
6 replies
#90
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Brazil cauby
9th -->Mouz, G2, Heroic, NIP, Vitality, BIG can pass CPH Flames even without making points. So, they need at least 6 teams to fulfill these conditions. Group A: G2 / Mouz / BIG 1-11th. FPX 12th+. Aura 10th+. Group B: Heroic 1-11th. Complexity / Astralis 12th+. Movistar Riders / Sinners / EndPoint 10th+ Group C: Vitality 1-11th+. OG / Sprout 12th+. Dignitas / Ence / Mad Lions 10th+ Group D: Nip 1-11th. Double Poney 12th+. Faze / Fnatic 11th+. Skade / Fiend 10th+ If any team with 0 points make the last scenario happen, I’ll want 6 numbers from each player to win 5 times in the Brazilian lotto. 10th -->Mouz, G2, Heroic, NIP, Vitality, BIG can pass even CPH Flames without making points. So, they need at least 6 teams to fulfill these conditions. Group A: G2 / Mouz / BIG 1-11th. FPX 12th+. Aura 11th+. Group B: Heroic 1-11th. Complexity / Astralis 12th+. Movistar Riders / Sinners / EndPoint 11th+ Group C: Vitality 1-11th+. OG / Sprout 12th+. Dignitas / Ence / Mad Lions 11th+ Group D: Nip 1-11th. Double Poney / Fnatic / Faze 12th+. Skade / Fiend 11th+ If they finish 11th+ they no longer have chances to play at Majors.
2021-09-26 03:19
2 replies
#93
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Brazil cauby
I forgot to mention, but Group A is the worst for any 0 points. It makes the scenario of 10th place almost impossible.
2021-09-26 03:32
1 reply
#94
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Bulgaria Bulg1us
ty so much
2021-09-26 07:05
#95
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Bulgaria Bulg1us
nono I don't hate Brazilians, these are just my 2 favourite teams : D
2021-09-26 07:07
2 replies
#98
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Brazil cauby
I know, but it was funny, because recently CPH Flames and BIG are winning a lot against brazilians teams xD
2021-09-26 20:46
1 reply
#101
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Bulgaria Bulg1us
yeah, they're kinda lucky with Brazilians
2021-09-26 20:56
if a team has no points, then what should they place to qualify?
2021-09-23 20:42
5 replies
#15
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Brazil cauby
Do you want know a specific team? Because there are 10 teams without point and the scenarios kind of change a lot between then. But the minimum placement in the best scenario is 6th place. More than that they need to rely in other teams placement.
2021-09-23 22:23
4 replies
#16
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Lithuania trippens
skade/fiend
2021-09-23 22:24
Is it different for each team? I thought it would be the same since they are all at 0 points.
2021-09-23 23:12
2 replies
What group they are in also matters, depending on who they play against and how they rank, it affects other teams' ranking as well.
2021-09-23 23:26
#33
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Brazil cauby
Skade and Team Fiend from Group D, have better scenarios than Copenhagem Flames and Aura from group B. This happens because one of the things that affect the chances of a team with 0 points succeed with a lower placement is to have Mouz, G2, Heroic and in some scenarios NIP and Vitality making points. As we can see Mouz and G2 are in the same group as Gopenhagem Flames and Aura, and as they want a spot in the top2 of the group they would remove one slot from one of these teams.
2021-09-24 00:50
Astralis?
2021-09-23 22:14
13 replies
#36
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Brazil cauby
Astralis is a team where they only depend on theirself, because if they make any points(Finish 1st - 11th) they will play at major, if they finish 12th+ they are out of the major. In Brazil we would say that they own their destiny. Unlike other team that will need key placement. For better or worse the only run that matters is theirs. But, this is sad content, so let's look how they can play as Challengers and Contenders, without depending on other teams placement: 1st-3rd place --> They play at least as Challengers. 4th - 11th --> They play at least as Contenders. If they finish 12th+ they no longer have chances to play at Majors.
2021-09-24 01:33
12 replies
#85
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Ukraine Valta
Could you do it again with the point deduction from gla1ve being subbed in taken into account
2021-09-25 22:40
8 replies
#86
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Brazil cauby
You scared me, I took the base points from Liquidpedia, and checked it again. This is already with Lucky playing in gla1ve place. Hope they don't change this, EU has a lot of teams.
2021-09-26 02:38
7 replies
but maybe he means glaive playing again!
2021-09-26 22:17
6 replies
#111
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Brazil cauby
I can make 2 runs. 1 --> With the points that they lost, because if - Lucky + gla1ve I think they get the points back, because the roster changes only affects RMR events. 2 --> With a deduction of 20% in the last major, in case my I'm wrong on gla1ve case. But i'll only run Astralis + normal database. Because it would be a hell of job do the other 23 teams more 2 times.
2021-09-26 22:30
5 replies
They get points back? Thats nice but probably not happening(
2021-09-26 23:25
4 replies
#118
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Brazil cauby
I really don't know, but kind is logic, right? You said that you would swap a player for the next event, but in fact you didn't. So why reduce points? Like 00nation with a 6man roster, they can play matches in between on the rmr with whatever players they want, but in the RMR they must keep the same 5 as the previus one to don't lose points.
2021-09-27 00:09
3 replies
Yeah valve did it to stop 6 man rosters, unlucky for 00nation(
2021-09-27 00:10
2 replies
#120
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Brazil cauby
I like the ideia of 6 man roster, but Valve already said what they think. So, I think what 00nations is doing is wrong. They are hurting a player just for the sake of friendship.
2021-09-27 00:12
1 reply
True I guess, many say it might be the future tho so valve might change it in a few years time
2021-09-27 00:14
Thanks a lot. I'm really nervous about this. There are 24 teams and the groups are BO1's on the new update and on LAN and Lucky never played on LAN, so he might be shit there cuz of nerves.
2021-09-26 14:40
2 replies
#102
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Brazil cauby
IEM Fall will be playing in LAN. They will get a huge buff. In Brazil we call this as "ProLAN". Also, Group B is not that hard, they need to secure a 3rd place and don't lose the 2 matches of placement.
2021-09-26 20:57
1 reply
Thanks again. Really appreciate your analysis <3
2021-09-26 21:25
MOUZ!
2021-09-23 22:52
6 replies
#22
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Brazil cauby
Without depending on other teams placement: 1st-3rd place --> They at least play as Legends 4th- 11th -->They play at least as Challengers. 12th+ They still have good chances. They need at least 2 teams to fulfill these conditions, kind of easy right? Group A: G2 1-11th. FPX / Big 12th+. Aura / CPH Flames 7th+. Group B: Heroic 1-11th. Complexity 10th+. Astralis 12th+. Sinnes / Movistar / EndPoint 7th+ Group C: Vitality 12th+. OG / Sprout 10th+. Dignitas / Ence / Mad Lions 7th+ Group D: NIP / Double Poney 12th+. Fnatic / Faze 9th+. Skade / Fiend 7th+ @csgo_statistic
2021-09-23 23:01
5 replies
thanks)) they'll do it im sure!
2021-09-23 23:02
#24
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Czech Republic PaYaB
thanks, looks like they're good
2021-09-23 23:04
3 replies
#26
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Brazil cauby
Just looking number and not actual team power, they are in the hardest group of the IEM. But, as they start as 3rd place they have a good shot. A team with 0 points must finish 6th or better to pass Mouz. I also trust that they are already in.
2021-09-23 23:07
2 replies
#31
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Czech Republic PaYaB
We'll see, G2 looked terrible lately and I think they should do just fine vs the other teams, but we all know it, it's bo1s and some crazy shit is very likely to happen.
2021-09-23 23:24
1 reply
+1 mouz either win tournament or go 0-5
2021-09-28 07:18
#19
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Brazil Bactuga
FaZe Complexity Fnatic
2021-09-23 22:55
9 replies
#47
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Brazil cauby
You must like to suffer, Group D will be a killing machine, there is few scenarios where Faze and Fnatic pass together. Faze: at #39 Complexity: at #34 Fnatic: at #38 with a small correction at #40
2021-09-24 05:01
7 replies
#50
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Brazil Bactuga
What happened?? i dont see any of those comments.
2021-09-24 05:01
6 replies
#51
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Brazil cauby
I don't why the link isn't working in some, but you can ctrl + F number.
2021-09-24 05:02
5 replies
#52
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Brazil Bactuga
No they are just gone, i dont see any of the comments i even tried doing Ctrl + F and searching manually
2021-09-24 05:03
4 replies
#53
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Brazil cauby
Omg, I opened with another acc, and they are trully gone. Maybe they are too big. I can't believe this.
2021-09-24 05:05
3 replies
#54
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Brazil Bactuga
oh noooooooo D: How much time did it took to make them?
2021-09-24 05:06
2 replies
#55
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Brazil cauby
A lot, but I can still see it. I'll upload on twitter and post the links.
2021-09-24 05:08
#58
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Brazil cauby
I found a way, i'm gonna break in two every post, just copy paste.
2021-09-24 05:17
#70
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Brazil cauby
Finally, you can found then now!! If you didn't point out that you can't see the post, all my work would be for nothing, really thanks mate. Fnatic #59 #61 Faze #64 #65 Complexity #62 #63
2021-09-24 05:31
Fmatic who is out of 11
2021-09-23 22:56
5 replies
#38
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Brazil cauby
If you are a true Fnatic fan, be ready for a bloodbath in Group D, most of the teams share a commun factor. Only relevant scenarios. Without depending on other teams placement: 1st-3rd place --> They play at least as Challengers. 4th - 8th --> They play at least as Contenders. Now we start the dark path, they no longer can play the major with only their placement, they need other teams to dance with then. 9th --> Mouz, G2 and Heroic can pass Fnatic even without making points. So they need at least 3 teams to fulfill these conditions. Group A: G2 / Mouz 1-11th. FPX / Big 12th+. Aura / CPH Flames 8th+. Group B: Heroic 1-11th. Complexity 10th+. Astralis 12th+. Sinnes / Movistar / EndPoint 8th+ Groups C: Vitality 12th+. OG / Sprout 11th+. Dignitas / Ence / Mad Lions 8th+ Group D: Nip / Double Poney 12th+. Faze 10th+. Skade / Fiend 8th+ 10th -->Mouz, G2, Heroic, NIP, Vitality can pass Fnatic even without making points. So they need at least 5 teams to fulfill these conditions. Group A: G2 / Mouz 1-11th. FPX / Big 12th+. Aura / CPH Flames 9th+. Group B: Heroic 1-11th. Complexity 11th+. Astralis 12th+. Sinnes / Movistar / EndPoint 9th+ Group C: Vitality 1-11th+. OG 11th+. Sprout 12th+. Dignitas / Ence / Mad Lions 9th+ Group D: Nip 1-11th. Double Poney 12th+. Faze 11th+. Skade / Fiend 9th+ 11th -->Mouz, G2, Heroic, NIP, Vitality can pass Fnatic even without making points. So they need at least 5 teams to fulfill these conditions. Group A: G2 / Mouz 1-11th. FPX / Big 12th+. Aura / CPH Flames 10th+. Group B: Heroic 1-11th. Complexity / Astralis 12th+. Sinnes / Movistar / EndPoint 10th+ Group C: Vitality 1-11th+. OG / Sprout 12th+. Dignitas / Ence / Mad Lions 10th+ Group D: Nip 1-11th. Double Poney / Faze 12th+. Skade / Fiend 10th+ If they finish 12th+ they no longer have chances to play at Majors. @csgo_statistic
2021-09-24 02:15
2 replies
#40
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Brazil cauby
*Small correction 9th scenario Group C: OG true placement is 10th+, not 11th+. Sorry for that, both OG and Sprout are so near in the table that I had copy both teams.
2021-09-24 02:25
#113
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Belarus ChecksOut
Wow so many letters, ill save that. Thank you for your job men))
2021-09-26 22:47
#59
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Brazil cauby
If you are a true Fnatic fan, be ready for a bloodbath in Group D, most of the teams share a commun factor. Only relevant scenarios. Without depending on other teams placement: 1st-3rd place --> They play at least as Challengers. 4th - 8th --> They play at least as Contenders. Now we start the dark path, they no longer can play the major with only their placement, they need other teams to dance with then. 9th --> Mouz, G2 and Heroic can pass Fnatic even without making points. So they need at least 3 teams to fulfill these conditions. Group A: G2 / Mouz 1-11th. FPX / Big 12th+. Aura / CPH Flames 8th+. Group B: Heroic 1-11th. Complexity 10th+. Astralis 12th+. Sinnes / Movistar / EndPoint 8th+ Group C: Vitality 12th+. OG 10th+. Sprout 11th+. Dignitas / Ence / Mad Lions 8th+ Group D: Nip / Double Poney 12th+. Faze 10th+. Skade / Fiend 8th+
2021-09-24 05:18
1 reply
#61
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Brazil cauby
10th -->Mouz, G2, Heroic, NIP, Vitality can pass Fnatic even without making points. So they need at least 5 teams to fulfill these conditions. Group A: G2 / Mouz 1-11th. FPX / Big 12th+. Aura / CPH Flames 9th+. Group B: Heroic 1-11th. Complexity 11th+. Astralis 12th+. Sinnes / Movistar / EndPoint 9th+ Group C: Vitality 1-11th+. OG 11th+. Sprout 12th+. Dignitas / Ence / Mad Lions 9th+ Group D: Nip 1-11th. Double Poney 12th+. Faze 11th+. Skade / Fiend 9th+ 11th -->Mouz, G2, Heroic, NIP, Vitality can pass Fnatic even without making points. So they need at least 5 teams to fulfill these conditions. Group A: G2 / Mouz 1-11th. FPX / Big 12th+. Aura / CPH Flames 10th+. Group B: Heroic 1-11th. Complexity / Astralis 12th+. Sinnes / Movistar / EndPoint 10th+ Group C: Vitality 1-11th+. OG / Sprout 12th+. Dignitas / Ence / Mad Lions 10th+ Group D: Nip 1-11th. Double Poney / Faze 12th+. Skade / Fiend 10th+ If they finish 12th+ they no longer have chances to play at Majors.
2021-09-24 05:20
Movistar Riders
2021-09-23 22:58
6 replies
+1
2021-09-24 02:29
1 reply
#49
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Brazil cauby
In case you don't comeback because of 0 reply. I'm just doing this, so you can see scenario in #46
2021-09-24 05:00
#56
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Brazil cauby
Movistar is in the 0 point batch. Hard mission, but not impossible. Luckly they aren't in Group A that is the worst for the 0 point teams. Take a deep breath, because this gonna be a long text. 1st-6th placement secures a slot on the Major. The drama start here at 7th place. 7th --> Mouz, G2 and Heroic can pass Movistar Riders even without making points. So, they need at least 3 teams to fulfill these conditions. Group A: G2 / Mouz 1-11th. FPX / Big 12th+. Aura / CPH Flames 8th+. Group B: Heroic 1-11th. Complexity 10th+. Astralis 12th+. Sinners / EndPoint 8th+ Groups C: Vitality 12th+. OG 10th+. Sprout 11th+. Dignitas / Ence / Mad Lions 8th+ Group D: Nip / Double Poney 12th+. Faze / Fnatic 9th+. Skade / Fiend 8th+ 8th -->Mouz, G2, Heroic, NIP, Vitality can pass Movistar Riders even without making points. So, they need at least 5 teams to fulfill these conditions. Group A: G2 / Mouz 1-11th. FPX / Big 12th+. Aura / CPH Flames 9th+. Group B: Heroic 1-11th. Complexity 11th+. Astralis 12th+. Sinners / EndPoint 9th+ Group C: Vitality 1-11th+. OG 11th+. Sprout 12th+. Dignitas / Ence / Mad Lions 9th+ Group D: Nip 1-11th. Double Poney 12th+. Faze / Fnatic 10th+. Skade / Fiend 9th+
2021-09-24 05:15
3 replies
#57
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Brazil cauby
9th -->Mouz, G2, Heroic, NIP, Vitality, BIG can pass Movistar Riders even without making points. So, they need at least 6 teams to fulfill these conditions. Group A: G2 / Mouz / BIG 1-11th. FPX 12th+. Aura / CPH Flames 10th+. Group B: Heroic 1-11th. Complexity / Astralis 12th+. Sinners / EndPoint 10th+ Group C: Vitality 1-11th+. OG / Sprout 12th+. Dignitas / Ence / Mad Lions 10th+ Group D: Nip 1-11th. Double Poney 12th+. Faze / Fnatic 11th+. Skade / Fiend 10th+ 10th -->Mouz, G2, Heroic, NIP, Vitality, BIG can pass Movistar Riders even without making points. So, they need at least 6 teams to fulfill these conditions. Group A: G2 / Mouz / BIG 1-11th. FPX 12th+. Aura / CPH Flames 11th+. Group B: Heroic 1-11th. Complexity / Astralis 12th+. Sinners / EndPoint 11th+ Group C: Vitality 1-11th+. OG / Sprout 12th+. Dignitas / Ence / Mad Lions 11th+ Group D: Nip 1-11th. Double Poney / Fnatic / Faze 12th+. Skade / Fiend 11th+ If they finish 11th+ they no longer have chances to play at Majors
2021-09-24 05:16
2 replies
Great work, thank you for ur time
2021-09-24 05:24
Thanks!
2021-09-24 07:57
#25
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Czech Republic PaYaB
Sinners (I know they have very slim chances)
2021-09-23 23:04
1 reply
#79
 | 
Brazil cauby
Sinners is the same scenarios as Movistar Riders. Both have 0 points and are in Group B. You can look at #56 #57. I would also recommend to pay attention at group A, because the worst scenarios rely on G2/ Mouz / Big that are all in Group A. So they to making points.
2021-09-24 17:39
#27
 | 
Luxembourg TheBudi34
FPX
2021-09-23 23:08
1 reply
#80
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Brazil cauby
FPX. let's find out how Devilwalk_1_Major can qualify again for a Major, but now as coach. Before I want to say that latter i'll be posting FPX with more detail at my twitter @csgo_statistic I'll do this because they are the frontier team, in other words, they make a clear division of many teams scenarios. Without depending on other teams placement: 1st-7th place --> They play at least as Challengers. 8th - 11th --> They play at least as Contenders. If they finish 12th+ they no longer have chances to play at Majors.
2021-09-24 23:15
Astralis?
2021-09-23 23:13
1 reply
#35
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Brazil cauby
Astralis is a team where they only depend on theirself, because if they make any points(Finish 1st - 11th) they will play at major, if they finish 12th+ they are out of the major. In Brazil we would say that they own their destiny. Unlike other team that will need key placement. For better or worse the only run that matters is theirs. But, this is sad content, so let's look how they can play as Challengers and Contenders, without depending on other teams placement: 1st-3rd place --> They play at least as Challengers. 4th - 11th --> They play at least as Contenders. If they finish 12th+ they no longer have chances to play at Majors.
2021-09-24 01:30
#30
mhL | 
United States KadamJ
CoL. And then I'll look at #27
2021-09-23 23:18
2 replies
#62
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Brazil cauby
Only relevant scenarios. Without depending on other teams placement: 1st-3rd place --> They play at least as Challengers. 4th - 9th --> They play at least as Contenders. Now we start the danger path, they no longer can play the major with only their placement, they need other teams. 10th --> Mouz, G2 and Heroic can pass Complexity even without making points. So they need at least 3 teams to fulfill these conditions. Group A: G2 / Mouz 1-11th. FPX / Big 12th+. Aura / CPH Flames 8th+. Group B: Heroic 1-11th. Astralis 12th+. Sinnes / Movistar / EndPoint 8th+ Groups C: Vitality 12th+.OG / Sprout 11th+. Dignitas / Ence / Mad Lions 8th+ Group D: Nip / Double Poney 12th+. Fnatic 11th+. Faze 9th+. Skade / Fiend 8th+
2021-09-24 05:21
1 reply
#63
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Brazil cauby
11th --> Mouz, G2, Heroic, NIP, Vitality can pass Complexity even without making points. So they need at least 5 teams to fulfill these conditions. Group A: G2 / Mouz 1-11th. FPX / Big 12th+. Aura / CPH Flames 9th+. Group B: Heroic 1-11th. Astralis 12th+. Sinnes / Movistar / EndPoint 9th+ Group C: Vitality 1-11th+. OG / Sprout 12th+. Dignitas / Ence / Mad Lions 9th+ Group D: Nip 1-11th. Double Poney / Fnatic 12th+. Faze 10th+. Skade / Fiend 9th+ If they finish 12th+ they no longer have chances to play at Majors. They share the same scenario as OG, but even with less points they have a better chance to qualify to Majors, because when we look the condiontions at 10th and 11th place they need that Heroic make points, and Complexity not going to playoffs makes a higher chance to heroic because they are in the same group. @csgo_statistic
2021-09-24 05:21
FaZe
2021-09-24 01:41
3 replies
#39
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Brazil cauby
I fell sad for Faze fans, if they had more 15 points their life would be way easier. And to be honest it could be worse, but the Group A saved Faze a lot. Only relevant scenarios. Without depending on other teams placement: 1st-3rd place --> They play at least as Challengers. 4th - 8th --> They play at least as Contenders. Now we start the dark path, they no longer can play the major with only their placement. 9th --> Mouz, G2 and Heroic can pass Fnatic even without making points. So they need at least 3 teams to fulfill these conditions. Group A: G2 / Mouz 1-11th. FPX / Big 12th+. Aura / CPH Flames 8th+. Group B: Heroic 1-11th. Complexity 11th+. Astralis 12th+. Sinnes / Movistar / EndPoint 8th+ Groups C: Vitality 12th+. OG / Sprout 11th+. Dignitas / Ence / Mad Lions 8th+ Group D: Nip / Double Poney 12th+. Fnatic 10th+. Skade / Fiend 8th+ 10th -->Mouz, G2, Heroic, NIP, Vitality can pass Fnatic even without making points. So they need at least 5 teams to fulfill these conditions. Group A: G2 / Mouz 1-11th. FPX / Big 12th+. Aura / CPH Flames 9th+. Group B: Heroic 1-11th. Complexity / Astralis 12th+. Sinnes / Movistar / EndPoint 9th+ Group C: Vitality 1-11th+. OG / Sprout 12th+. Dignitas / Ence / Mad Lions 9th+ Group D: Nip 1-11th. Double Poney 12th+. Fnatic 11th+. Skade / Fiend 9th+ 11th -->Mouz, G2, Heroic, NIP, Vitality, BIG can pass Faze even without making points.(15 points =/) So they need at least 6 teams to fulfill these conditions. Group A: G2 / Mouz / BIG 1-11th. FPX 12th+. Aura / CPH Flames 10th+. Group B: Heroic 1-11th. Complexity / Astralis 12th+. Sinnes / Movistar / EndPoint 10th+ Group C: Vitality 1-11th+. OG / Sprout 12th+. Dignitas / Ence / Mad Lions 10th+ Group D: Nip 1-11th. Double Poney / Fnatic 12th+. Skade / Fiend 10th+ If they finish 12th+ they no longer have chances to play at Majors.
2021-09-24 02:23
#64
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Brazil cauby
I fell sad for Faze fans, if they had more 15 points their life would be way easier. And to be honest it could be worse, but the Group A saved Faze a lot. Only relevant scenarios. Without depending on other teams placement: 1st-3rd place --> They play at least as Challengers. 4th - 8th --> They play at least as Contenders. Now we start the dark path, they no longer can play the major with only their placement. 9th --> Mouz, G2 and Heroic can pass Fnatic even without making points. So they need at least 3 teams to fulfill these conditions. Group A: G2 / Mouz 1-11th. FPX / Big 12th+. Aura / CPH Flames 8th+. Group B: Heroic 1-11th. Complexity 11th+. Astralis 12th+. Sinnes / Movistar / EndPoint 8th+ Groups C: Vitality 12th+. OG / Sprout 11th+. Dignitas / Ence / Mad Lions 8th+ Group D: Nip / Double Poney 12th+. Fnatic 10th+. Skade / Fiend 8th+
2021-09-24 05:22
1 reply
#65
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Brazil cauby
10th -->Mouz, G2, Heroic, NIP, Vitality can pass Fnatic even without making points. So they need at least 5 teams to fulfill these conditions. Group A: G2 / Mouz 1-11th. FPX / Big 12th+. Aura / CPH Flames 9th+. Group B: Heroic 1-11th. Complexity / Astralis 12th+. Sinnes / Movistar / EndPoint 9th+ Group C: Vitality 1-11th+. OG / Sprout 12th+. Dignitas / Ence / Mad Lions 9th+ Group D: Nip 1-11th. Double Poney 12th+. Fnatic 11th+. Skade / Fiend 9th+ 11th -->Mouz, G2, Heroic, NIP, Vitality, BIG can pass Faze even without making points.(15 points =/) So they need at least 6 teams to fulfill these conditions. Group A: G2 / Mouz / BIG 1-11th. FPX 12th+. Aura / CPH Flames 10th+. Group B: Heroic 1-11th. Complexity / Astralis 12th+. Sinnes / Movistar / EndPoint 10th+ Group C: Vitality 1-11th+. OG / Sprout 12th+. Dignitas / Ence / Mad Lions 10th+ Group D: Nip 1-11th. Double Poney / Fnatic 12th+. Skade / Fiend 10th+ If they finish 12th+ they no longer have chances to play at Majors.
2021-09-24 05:22
Good thread mate
2021-09-24 02:29
#43
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Brazil cauby
Any guess in what team is the most important at the RMR? There is a team that if he finishes in the wrong placement can ruin a lot of the results, he is the most important, and alone could put a end in a bunch of scenarios of bad placement for some teams.
2021-09-24 04:38
IQ: 832
2021-09-24 04:45
Fnatic
2021-09-24 04:49
2 replies
#48
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Brazil cauby
Fnatic: #38 with a small correction at #40
2021-09-24 04:58
#69
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Brazil cauby
My posts were too big and probably flagged as spam, so I broke and repost it, Fnatic is #59 #61
2021-09-24 05:25
#60
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Poland xMBTx
Anonymo
2021-09-24 05:18
2 replies
#81
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Brazil cauby
They didn't qualify =/
2021-09-24 23:38
1 reply
#82
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Poland xMBTx
What about situation that 3 or 4 qualified teams wont go to IEM Fall?
2021-09-24 23:42
I think you have answered every team! Thanks a lot mate! Great info to have! :)
2021-09-24 17:17
3 replies
#75
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Brazil cauby
There is a few left, will be doing by today/tomorrow. I take a good time to make the texts, because for better understanding of scenarios I use portuguse, than after analyze I start to translate to english. I have a medium english, so I need read a few times, and even after that the text isn't perfect.
2021-09-24 17:22
2 replies
That's fine. To see you taking so much effort is great for the community! Thank you again!
2021-09-24 17:23
#84
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Bulgaria Bulg1us
can you please do #6 ?
2021-09-25 22:31
2021-09-24 17:28
1 reply
#78
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Brazil cauby
Sinners is the same scenarios as Movistar Riders. Both have 0 points and are in Group B. You can look at #56 #57. I would also recommend to pay attention at group A, because the worst scenarios rely on G2/ Mouz / Big that are all in Group A. So they to making points.
2021-09-24 17:38
#83
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Brazil cauby
CIS scenarios are done!!! I'll start to post tomorrow, because I want re-check some oddly scenarios that I have missleading data.
2021-09-25 01:29
#87
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Norway TheDEA
I love your threads, Dignitas Grp C
2021-09-26 02:46
2 replies
#91
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Brazil cauby
Thanks, I'm also loving talk to a lot of people and doing math. 1st-6th placement secures a slot on the Major. The drama starts here at 7th place. 7th --> Mouz, G2 and Heroic can pass even Dignitas without making points. So, they need at least 3 teams to fulfill these conditions. Group A: G2 / Mouz 1-11th. FPX / Big 12th+. CPH Flames / Aura 8th+. Group B: Heroic 1-11th. Complexity 10th+. Astralis 12th+. Movistar Riders / Sinners / EndPoint 8th+ Groups C: Vitality 12th+. OG 10th+. Sprout 11th+. Ence / Mad Lions 8th+ Group D: Nip / Double Poney 12th+. Faze / Fnatic 9th+. Skade / Fiend 8th+ 8th -->Mouz, G2, Heroic, NIP, Vitality can pass Dignitas even without making points. So, they need at least 5 teams to fulfill these conditions. Group A: G2 / Mouz 1-11th. FPX / Big 12th+. Aura / CPH Flames 9th+. Group B: Heroic 1-11th. Complexity 11th+. Astralis 12th+. Movistar Riders / Sinners / EndPoint 9th+ Group C: Vitality 1-11th+. OG 11th+. Sprout 12th+. Ence / Mad Lions 9th+ Group D: Nip 1-11th. Double Poney 12th+. Faze / Fnatic 10th+. Skade / Fiend 9th+
2021-09-26 03:29
1 reply
#92
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Brazil cauby
9th -->Mouz, G2, Heroic, NIP, Vitality, BIG can pass Dignitas even without making points. So, they need at least 6 teams to fulfill these conditions. Group A: G2 / Mouz / BIG 1-11th. FPX 12th+. Aura / CPH Flames 10th+. Group B: Heroic 1-11th. Complexity / Astralis 12th+. Movistar Riders / Sinners / EndPoint 10th+ Group C: Vitality 1-11th+. OG / Sprout 12th+. Ence / Mad Lions 10th+ Group D: Nip 1-11th. Double Poney 12th+. Faze / Fnatic 11th+. Skade / Fiend 10th+ There is song in Brazil that says “The impossible is only a matter of opinion” Hope Dignitas has a strong opinion. 10th -->Mouz, G2, Heroic, NIP, Vitality, BIG can pass Dignitas even without making points. So, they need at least 6 teams to fulfill these conditions. Group A: G2 / Mouz / BIG 1-11th. FPX 12th+. Aura / CPH Flames 11th+. Group B: Heroic 1-11th. Complexity / Astralis 12th+. Movistar Riders / Sinners / EndPoint 11th+ Group C: Vitality 1-11th+. OG / Sprout 12th+. Ence / Mad Lions 11th+ Group D: Nip 1-11th. Double Poney / Fnatic / Faze 12th+. Skade / Fiend 11th+ If they finish 11th+ they no longer have chances to play at Majors
2021-09-26 03:30
#97
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Bulgaria Kradeca_
skade and fiend
2021-09-26 14:42
2 replies
#99
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Brazil cauby
Skade and Team Fiend share the same points and group. There is a big chance that only 1 can qualify. It's the same scenario, I will post as Skade, but you can swap where is Skade for Team Fiend and it will be fine. SKADE 1st-6th placement secures a slot on the Major. The drama starts here at 7th place. 7th --> Mouz, G2 and Heroic can pass even Skade without making points. So, they need at least 3 teams to fulfill these conditions. Group A: G2 / Mouz 1-11th. FPX / Big 12th+. CPH Flames / Aura 8th+. Group B: Heroic 1-11th. Complexity 10th+. Astralis 12th+. Movistar Riders / Sinners / EndPoint 8th+ Groups C: Vitality 12th+. OG 10th+. Sprout 11th+. Ence / Dignitas / Mad Lions 8th+ Group D: Nip / Double Poney 12th+. Faze / Fnatic 9th+. Fiend 8th+ 8th -->Mouz, G2, Heroic, NIP, Vitality can pass Skade even without making points. So, they need at least 5 teams to fulfill these conditions. Group A: G2 / Mouz 1-11th. FPX / Big 12th+. Aura / CPH Flames 9th+. Group B: Heroic 1-11th. Complexity 11th+. Astralis 12th+. Movistar Riders / Sinners / EndPoint 9th+ Group C: Vitality 1-11th+. OG 11th+. Sprout 12th+. Ence / Dignitas/ Mad Lions 9th+ Group D: Nip 1-11th. Double Poney 12th+. Faze / Fnatic 10th+. Fiend 9th+
2021-09-26 20:50
1 reply
#100
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Brazil cauby
9th -->Mouz, G2, Heroic, NIP, Vitality, BIG can pass Skade even without making points. So, they need at least 6 teams to fulfill these conditions. Group A: G2 / Mouz / BIG 1-11th. FPX 12th+. Aura / CPH Flames 10th+. Group B: Heroic 1-11th. Complexity / Astralis 12th+. Movistar Riders / Sinners / EndPoint 10th+ Group C: Vitality 1-11th+. OG / Sprout 12th+. Ence / Dignitas / Mad Lions 10th+ Group D: Nip 1-11th. Double Poney 12th+. Faze / Fnatic 11th+. Skade / Fiend 10th+ Do you have faith?It's time to pray. 10th -->Mouz, G2, Heroic, NIP, Vitality, BIG can pass Skade even without making points. So, they need at least 6 teams to fulfill these conditions. Group A: G2 / Mouz / BIG 1-11th. FPX 12th+. Aura / CPH Flames 11th+. Group B: Heroic 1-11th. Complexity / Astralis 12th+. Movistar Riders / Sinners / EndPoint 11th+ Group C: Vitality 1-11th+. OG / Sprout 12th+. Dignitas / Ence / Mad Lions 11th+ Group D: Nip 1-11th. Double Poney / Fnatic / Faze 12th+. Fiend 11th+ If they finish 11th+ they no longer have chances to play at Majors
2021-09-26 20:51
Has astralis been done?
2021-09-26 21:27
2 replies
2021-09-26 21:29
1 reply
It’s still gonna be scary(
2021-09-26 23:22
ence
2021-09-26 21:29
Ence?
2021-09-26 21:31
3 replies
#108
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Brazil cauby
Let's find out if it will be 2ez4Ence. They are in Group C, with a lot of strong teams. But at least isn't group A. 1st-6th placement secures a slot on the Major. The problens start here at 7th place. 7th --> Mouz, G2 and Heroic can pass even Ence without making points. So, they need at least 3 teams to fulfill these conditions. Group A: G2 / Mouz 1-11th. FPX / Big 12th+. CPH Flames / Aura 8th+. Group B: Heroic 1-11th. Complexity 10th+. Astralis 12th+. Movistar Riders / Sinners / EndPoint 8th+ Group C: Vitality 12th+. OG 10th+. Sprout 11th+. Dignitas / Mad Lions 8th+ Group D: Nip / Double Poney 12th+. Faze / Fnatic 9th+. Skade / Fiend 8th+ 8th -->Mouz, G2, Heroic, NIP, Vitality can pass Ence even without making points. So, they need at least 5 teams to fulfill these conditions. Group A: G2 / Mouz 1-11th. FPX / Big 12th+. Aura / CPH Flames 9th+. Group B: Heroic 1-11th. Complexity 11th+. Astralis 12th+. Movistar Riders / Sinners / EndPoint 9th+ Group C: Vitality 1-11th+. OG 11th+. Sprout 12th+. Dignitas/ Mad Lions 9th+ Group D: Nip 1-11th. Double Poney 12th+. Faze / Fnatic 10th+. Skade / Fiend 9th+
2021-09-26 21:59
2 replies
#109
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Brazil cauby
9th -->Mouz, G2, Heroic, NIP, Vitality, BIG can pass Ence even without making points. So, they need at least 6 teams to fulfill these conditions. Group A: G2 / Mouz / BIG 1-11th. FPX 12th+. Aura / CPH Flames 10th+. Group B: Heroic 1-11th. Complexity / Astralis 12th+. Movistar Riders / Sinners / EndPoint 10th+ Group C: Vitality 1-11th+. OG / Sprout 12th+. Dignitas / Mad Lions 10th+ Group D: Nip 1-11th. Double Poney 12th+. Faze / Fnatic 11th+. Skade / Fiend 10th+ Dude, take all of your good luck itens, and walk with then. 10th -->Mouz, G2, Heroic, NIP, Vitality, BIG can pass Ence even without making points. So, they need at least 6 teams to fulfill these conditions. Group A: G2 / Mouz / BIG 1-11th. FPX 12th+. Aura / CPH Flames 11th+. Group B: Heroic 1-11th. Complexity / Astralis 12th+. Movistar Riders / Sinners / EndPoint 11th+ Group C: Vitality 1-11th+. OG / Sprout 12th+. Dignitas / Mad Lions 11th+ Group D: Nip 1-11th. Double Poney / Fnatic / Faze 12th+. Skade / Fiend 11th+ If they finish 11th+ they no longer have chances to play at Majors
2021-09-26 22:01
1 reply
thx bro B)
2021-09-26 22:43
G2
2021-09-26 23:25
1 reply
#117
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Brazil cauby
In 3 days of topic you are the first asking about G2, the fans must be confident. Without depending on other teams placement: 1st-3rd place --> They at least play as Legends 4th- 10th -->They play at least as Challengers. 11th --> They play at least as Contenders. 12th+ They still have good chances. They need at least 12 teams to fulfill these conditions, don't be afraid of the big number, 11 of those are cause/consequence, like a chain reaction. Group A: Mouz / FPX / Big 12th+. Aura / CPH Flames 7th+. Group B: Heroic 1-11th. Complexity 10th+. Astralis 12th+. Sinnes / Movistar / EndPoint 7th+ Group C: Vitality 12th+. OG / Sprout 10th+. Dignitas / Ence / Mad Lions 7th+ Group D: NIP / Double Poney 12th+. Fnatic / Faze 9th+. Skade / Fiend 7th+ @csgo_statistic
2021-09-27 00:05
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