if Faze qualify, not a lot
if no Faze, then 50/50 between navi and vitality
There will be 16 teams in the major so the chance is 1/16
1/16 = 6.25% of chance to win a major
I think they'll make playoffs at least but from there it's NAVI so who knows what will happen
Not gonna lie, I'm cheering against s1mple, ZywOo and NiKO, so they will never win a Major, like Cristiano Ronaldo and Messi never won a WC.
They either win or they don't
Hey I'm barely 5 ft 7 too... 169 and it sucky sucky sucks, can I have some sympathy
50%, either they win or they lose
It's tricky with the new update.
Who knows what idea and strats will be discovered with droppable nades and m4a1-s buff.
idk if i wanna say anything before watching IEM because as you know the new update with utility it'll bring a huge change in how teams play the game i'd like to see what new stuff teams will do with it but not considering the update maybe they have 60% of winning chance for major
I would say 50-60% there is a decent chance that they lose a match in playoffs and are out. But they are definitely the best team, I would watch out for Heroic, Vitality, Gambit, and G2 (lol) having miracle runs and eliminating Navi in close games.
Before, 75%, now 45% because of the new meta
who knows what can the teams come up with.
i think they will be in the final for sure at least
I would say chances are high, but it is major we are talking about... Time of a time a team steps up in major and wins (gambit, liquid).
I remember Boston 2018, where Faze came in as an absolute favorite and we all remember how it all went out!
Basically what I am trying to say is that their chances should be considered higher than other teams, but as of mathematical perspective they aren't that high. Even if you check the odds for outright winner of CIS IEM FALL, it is around 1.8 - 1.9, which mathematically states that their chances of winning are slightly above 50%.
s1mple will choke like he always does and FaZe will win in close final vs NaVi 2-1 (FaZe will dominate their map pick and so will NaVi and FaZe will win the 3rd map 19-17
Honestly it's gonna be 50/50 for every top-team with lan expirience like navi, astralis, vitality, faze and etc.
Crowd, Major' pressure, new meta with droppable nades and etc. Every team can choke, do some dumbest mistakes.
Can't wait for this major! Such an unexpected tournament.
If they win, I want the final to be either NAVI-Astralis to revenge the lost final in 2018, or NAVI-Vitality, s1mple vs ZywOo final
Majors are always about upsetting and they may drop early if they got to play against Vitality
Chances of Navi winning the major = no. of major s0mple win
30% considering that some other teams could pop off and navi's ability to choke + b1t's very possible first major grand final
never avoid the factor of random
55% for CIS team win major
40 %for EU
4 %for NA
1% rest SA,ASIA,AU
between 20 and 40%
not easy job considering new patch
realistically vitality/g2/heroic/liquid/gambit/navi/nip are the only finals contenders. ofc you can't know if mouz or big etc will fluke life games soon)
around 35%, anything can happen
0%, S1mple chokes in finals when they get there
Predicting that the best team wins the major isn't that much of a divine divination. It is like saying that Bayern Munich will win the champions league - amazing prediction skills. Go play lottery you have the power!
NIP will win, bookmark this
0% becuz astralis winnin the major, according to me and astralis_6_majors or what ever his name is
Vitality might win if the +4 decide to tryhard for once
Their recent success has been a big part due to b1ts form, can he keep it up though on lan with a crowd? Will teams work him out and anti strat?
definitely favorites, almost as big a favorite as Astralis during 2019 Katowice, but not quite that level.
They should be able to beat every opponent, I think they clear the groups easily, only problem is the pressure they might put on themselves during playoffs, they need to stay calm and collected. I've seen NaVi crash and burn tactically in so many Major playoff games in my life it's hard to not have a doubt about it. But in all fairness I do think they will win it
Around 20% I think. Bigger chance than other teams currently but by no means is it set in stone. Major is a whole different beast and especially s1mple will probably have some immense extra pressure. I hope Gleb does some good work with their mentals preparing for the tournament so they at least won't lose to themselves the same way Liquid always did.
40%, which is still much more than any other team
in your dreams
Born to lose