As much as I love NIP, you can't compare them to NAVI, and I will list the reasons why.
Perfect joined NAVI at the start of 2020 and they've only started to look hella promising around April this year. By your logic, LNZ needs more than a year's time to get comfortable in this NIP roster, which obviously isn't enough preparation time for the next major that's coming up in a few weeks, is it?
NAVI really found the hidden gem when they signed b1t, he is a really good fucking player due to his consistency in aim and game sense, I don't think any rookie has been good as him this whole year.
You said that LNZ has been good with his role and I can't agree with you enough, but I absolutely do not believe that he can keep playing in this current form, especially in the stadium WITH the crowd, the pressure is really going to hit on him hard.
NAVI is currently the better team, the only way I can see them lose against NIP is if s1mple and his squad chokes at the major, which they always do.