I personally only doubted before Electronic was announced, since I wasn't sure how much would LANs be weighted, especially for Navi players. After he was announced, I was personally confident that Ax1le > Hobbit, by both stats and MVPs. EVPs rarely matter, unless they are elite events EVPs.
But yeah, Niko seems like a better candidate for some reason now xD. I guess my personal favoritism for Niko isn't helping that either. Against Top5, Top10, and in terms of Impact, KPR, ADR, Niko beats sh1ro in all the events filters. And in elite events, Niko is significantly higher in all the categories. I might change my prediction to sh1ro 4th, in a while xD