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I will predict "HLTV TOP 20 Players of 2022"
Spain strafort 
So I created a formula ?to kind of predict the "HLTV TOP 20 Players" and this is what I got. I do it after the Pos HLTV Program Rating 3.0 1 s1mple s1mple 1,568 2 ZywOo ZywOo 1,393 3 NiKo sh1ro 1,360 4 sh1ro NiKo 1,344 5 Ax1Le Ax1Le 1,311 6 HObbit electroNic 1,304 7 electroNic HObbit 1,294 8 YEKINDAR YEKINDAR 1,213 9 b1t b1t 1,198 10 Jame Jame 1,193 11 device device 1,189 12 huNter- huNter- 1,186 13 blameF blameF 1,169 14 NAF NAF 1,130 15 KSCERATO KSCERATO 1,130 16 stavn EliGE 1,117 17 Twistzz Twistzz 1,106 18 ropz broky 1,088 19 EliGE stavn 1,083 20 broky teses 1,066 ---------------------------------- 21 frozen mir 1,055 22 teses ropz 1,035 23 mir frozen 1,012 Some parameters I used were: - Rating 2.0 (Overall) - Impact rating (Overall) - Rating 2.0 vs top 5 opponents (Overall) - Rating 2.0 (Big events) - Rating 2.0 (Elite events) - I also used a factor to take into account the amount of maps played, since it is not the same that you had 1.50 rating in 50 maps than 1.20 in 150 maps. Formula looks like this: 0,5*Overall Rating 3.0 + 0,2*Big Events Rating 3.0 + 0,3*Big Events Rating 3.0 Where Rating 3.0 is calculated like: 0,65*mapsFactor*Rating2.0 + 0,25*mapsFactor*Rating2.0vstop5 + 0,1*mapsFactor*ImpactRating P.S. : I know they also take into account other parameters, awards and so on, but I just wanted to see what I got with this.
2022-01-23 21:25
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Well done
2022-01-23 21:26
3 replies
Thanks!
2022-01-23 21:32
2 replies
#12
 | 
Estonia teremartin
normal work, but HLTV did not pay you 😎
2022-01-23 21:33
1 reply
haha for sure
2022-01-23 21:41
If numbers were so high I think it would look less impressive even if it's equal to 2.0
2022-01-23 21:27
3 replies
What do you mean?
2022-01-23 21:32
2 replies
Idk, if hltv were to move to a 3.0 rating system, such high numbers like 1.6 for t1 players would look like they were inflated since bunch of people would still judge on 2.0 system
2022-01-24 09:41
But that's just me, ignore it
2022-01-24 09:41
#3
 | 
Kosovo dnjl
respect
2022-01-23 21:27
1 reply
thanks 😎
2022-01-23 21:50
#4
joel | 
Sweden flabbit
1. plopski
2022-01-23 21:28
1 reply
#90
fnx | 
Russia P0vTr
1. Es3tag
2022-05-19 09:02
Daaamn, that's a lot of work
2022-01-23 21:29
3 replies
Well kind of, it took me 3 hours or so. Also excel helps a lot haha
2022-01-23 21:31
2 replies
Still, the fact you had the courage to make it is respectable. I hope mods don't take down this thread. and all the positions are reasonable
2022-01-23 21:32
1 reply
Yes I was worried about that, we will see
2022-01-23 21:34
#7
 | 
China RADNIKEY
Very cool! Can you use it on previous years
2022-01-23 21:32
1 reply
I will try yeah, that was next step on my mind, this week or next week if I have the time I will do it
2022-01-23 21:33
#14
 | 
Finland Lushkan
1. s1mple 2. NiKo 3. Sh1ro 4. Zywoo 5. Ropz 6. electroNic 7. Hobbit 8. b1t 9. Ax1le 10. Yekindar 11. m0nesy 12. brollan 13. Stavn 14. Twistzz 15. KSCERATO 16. Smooya 17. huNter- 18. yuurih 19. magisk 20. syrson
2022-01-23 21:40
6 replies
Tbh very nice list but blameF and Naf maeby ?
2022-01-24 12:59
3 replies
#39
 | 
Finland Lushkan
Liquid and astralis will spend the first half of the year being shit and the second half repairing their irrepairable roster.
2022-01-24 13:29
2 replies
yes liquid is shit, but naf is not
2022-05-18 23:56
Man you were so accuarate on this hahaha
2022-05-18 23:58
#73
 | 
Brazil bronly4
really good list +1 maybe smooya and 2 or 3 names i disagree the rest ok
2022-05-19 00:26
#81
 | 
United States VRVegas
broky? naf? blame?
2022-05-19 01:19
I wish I could understand that
2022-01-23 21:51
2022-01-23 22:50
#21
 | 
World NukestrikE
good job:)
2022-01-24 09:47
1 reply
thanks!
2022-01-24 12:46
Train a linear regression dont try to manually adjust the params lol…
2022-01-24 12:55
4 replies
that is next step, this was just a manual test
2022-01-24 12:58
3 replies
btw I tested it with 2020 and It is still pretty accuarate (using same parameters)
2022-01-24 13:01
that's pretty cool:D hit me up if you wanna do some math together
2022-01-24 13:35
1 reply
I will let you know
2022-01-28 19:39
Ok.
2022-01-24 12:59
1 reply
xD
2022-01-28 19:37
HUH
2022-01-24 13:01
1 reply
this is a test using 2020 stats, I will use it in 2021 when events are played haha
2022-01-24 13:01
#30
arT | 
Spain nTapps
Very interesting. Can you test it on previous years?!
2022-01-24 13:05
3 replies
Thanks. I tested it with 2020 and It is pretty accuarate (using same parameters), more spots are switched but that is all
2022-01-24 13:13
2 replies
#41
arT | 
Spain nTapps
I'll await for the next year's prediction.
2022-01-24 13:36
1 reply
;) I'll let you know
2022-01-24 16:07
pretty accurate
2022-01-24 13:08
1 reply
Yeah I was very surprised when I finally got it
2022-01-24 13:10
nice
2022-01-24 13:12
1 reply
thanks man!
2022-01-24 13:18
people over here got baited so bad 2022-01-24 01:25 xD
2022-01-24 13:13
2 replies
yeah title should be like "formula for top 20 players" or something like that haha sorry if you got baited
2022-01-24 13:18
1 reply
nice excuse at the end of your convo xD
2022-01-24 13:21
#45
 | 
Brazil Lok72
isnt this the 2021 list?
2022-01-28 19:40
3 replies
It is, I will predict 2022's at the end of the year. I mean, I used the stats from 2021 to get this list, and as you can see, It is pretty similar to the actual list.
2022-01-28 19:42
2 replies
#47
 | 
Brazil Lok72
gotcha, nice, seems like you got their formulla, although I still think ellige shouldt be there and the only reason is his co-owner in liquid
2022-01-28 19:44
1 reply
Well stats doesn't say so. And this list is pretty much about stats
2022-01-28 19:46
#49
 | 
France Titanro
nice man, amazing!
2022-01-28 19:50
1 reply
Thanks!
2022-01-28 19:52
why make it public just bet on it in 2022 and be billionaire
2022-01-28 22:33
6 replies
I tested with 2020 and 2019 and It was not that accurate. I mean, the core positions are fine and error margin is 1 or 2 spots, but a lot of positions are switched.
2022-01-28 22:37
5 replies
Over the next months I will try to fix It and see if I can make it work properly. If It does, probably I Will bt on It.
2022-01-28 22:43
4 replies
tbh I dont know the formula but I followed the lists since 2014 and honestly the bets bookies were giving were so free.. niko over sh1ro ax1le over hobbit and yekindar over jame was so obvious in my eyes
2022-01-28 22:53
3 replies
Are the odds like that? I mean are they about exact positions or like you said "shiro vs NiKo" and so?
2022-01-28 23:13
2 replies
yes,its 2 players and you bet on who will place higher
2022-01-28 23:21
1 reply
Mmm sounds good
2022-01-28 23:24
I will give a try with this formula after the major
2022-05-18 23:52
should you test the formula to another year before 2021? to create more accurate formula
2022-05-19 00:00
6 replies
Already did, it went really accurate for 2020 as well, good for 2019 and extreamly bad for 2018 xD
2022-05-19 00:06
5 replies
now i curious for 2019 and 2018 calculation result bc xyp's ranking is decent on those year and in 2018 glaive was way higher than his rating was
2022-05-19 00:07
2 replies
DM me and I can send you a link to the Google sheet
2022-05-19 00:27
1 reply
sorry for late reply, now i really curious bc i dont know pro scene before 2019 Major Berlin
2022-05-19 05:50
another thought for your formula after read it once again, you may add achievement variable to calculate the ranking prior of 2020 bc in 2020 and 2021, zero to very little LAN winning matters to the ranking
2022-05-19 00:11
1 reply
Yeah I know, I will probably work on it during next months. Ty for the advice mens))
2022-05-19 00:20
where is spinx, looking like at least top 20
2022-05-19 00:06
1 reply
This is 2021's TOP. I will make a new one for this year
2022-05-19 00:29
Your last 2 terms- ,2*Big Events Rating 3.0 + 0,3*Big Events Rating 3.0 Isnt that equal to 0.5*big events rating? There might be a typo or am braindead?
2022-05-19 00:09
2 replies
Yeah there was a typo, I meant Big events and Elite events.
2022-05-19 00:25
1 reply
Ok nice. Good input parameters. Now do a regression analysis to get those coefficients. Maybe try 2020, 2021 to get those and then predict for this year
2022-05-19 08:12
#70
 | 
United States kami917
your system is flawed sir but nice attempt nonetheless
2022-05-19 00:15
2 replies
Why is that? It worked pretty well. I think I would need to add achivements to the formula this year and It will work pretty well
2022-05-19 00:28
1 reply
#82
 | 
United States kami917
Ratings are skewed for players like Jame, Dev1ce, Mir who haven’t played this year. You need to include a minimum maps played like 50 or 100 for it to display more accurately
2022-05-19 01:28
#71
 | 
Turkey sedo7
b1t 9? lmao
2022-05-19 00:20
2 replies
This is 2021's TOP. I will make a new one for this year
2022-05-19 00:26
1 reply
#93
 | 
Turkey sedo7
oh sry, TLDR
2022-05-19 13:49
kscerato is top 5
2022-05-19 00:47
#80
 | 
United Kingdom Jonty04l32
Nice job. Looking forward to what the 2022 list will be like post-Major. :)
2022-05-19 01:11
2 thru 6 disappeared this year lmao
2022-05-19 01:30
Didn't you just copy last year's top 20?
2022-05-19 08:31
2 replies
#91
fnx | 
Russia P0vTr
Look at the data of a post
2022-05-19 09:03
1 reply
I see. He just made a formula and tried to check it with 2021 top 20 list
2022-05-19 13:44
#89
ropz | 
India psn46
Sh1ro ? Kekw
2022-05-19 08:59
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