Forum thread: Cs betting theory

keep gambling

2023-05-04 23:54

22 replies

i think im addicted already

2023-05-05 03:33

4 replies

2023-05-25 00:55

3 replies

2023-05-25 03:33

2 replies

2023-05-29 03:00

1 reply

2023-05-30 02:01

2023-05-09 11:14

16 replies

2023-05-09 15:01

15 replies

what is this

2023-05-09 16:06

14 replies

2023-05-10 02:48

13 replies

bro?

2023-05-10 05:22

12 replies

Sorry bro I had to xD

2023-05-10 12:04

11 replies

all good but still what is that

2023-05-10 13:04

10 replies

2023-05-10 13:08

9 replies

bro..

2023-05-10 19:43

8 replies

2023-05-12 14:47

7 replies

snax?

2023-05-13 15:40

6 replies

2023-06-06 01:44

5 replies

looks like scuffed tweeday

2023-06-07 11:00

4 replies

2023-06-07 11:54

1 reply

perkele

2023-06-08 11:05

haha

2023-06-11 01:09

1 reply

hahah

2023-06-30 05:16

these cases are highly volatile, even though you used 100 cases the difference here is likely not significant enough to say for certain

2023-05-04 23:55

15 replies

should i try another case?

2023-05-05 00:03

13 replies

try at least 10000 with each code to be sure

2023-05-05 00:04

3 replies

haha true but not worth it

2023-05-05 00:23

thats gonna take so long to do bro

2023-05-05 00:36

+1 too much variance with only 100 cases

2023-05-05 18:57

Yeah like #6 said, you need a bigger amount of cases, maybe not 10k, I think 1k should be enough for low value and low volatility cases. 100 is just not enough

2023-05-05 00:26

3 replies

with 1k i can make a better conclusion?

2023-05-14 18:01

2 replies

yes, but for low volatility cases, not like 0.5% knife cases, those you need alot more then 1k xD

2023-05-14 19:18

1 reply

so like the exact cases i already used

2023-05-15 00:29

Go to dskjal, make an Excel with odds and see the Law of large numbers applied to gambling. Easy data for 0 dollar

2023-05-07 08:52

4 replies

huh

2023-05-08 23:46

bro this only works if the city isnt rigging the odds based on the code used

2023-05-08 23:49

2 replies

good point

2023-05-09 05:14

thats what im saying

2023-05-09 15:28

172 observations with mean 82 vs 172 observations with mean 143 We technically need st. dev to run the t test, but I am 95% certain it will turn out statistically significant.

2023-06-05 12:08

bruh everything is rigged in this shady mafia gambling buisiness... no brain cells needed to know that

2023-05-04 23:57

1 reply

true

2023-05-05 00:32

house always wins

2023-05-04 23:58

2 replies

not this time

2023-05-05 00:17

1 reply

kkkkkkkk

2023-05-06 08:18

why did you lost all your time to make all of those calculs when you just had to check how provably fair works and understand that it dosn't change anything?

2023-05-05 00:06

3 replies

so the all sites are legit? xd

2023-05-09 05:49

2 replies

all that uses provably fair yes.

2023-05-09 18:33

does it make sense to risk your free money printer's reputation by cheating the people who run it i.e. the gamblers?

2023-06-26 05:50

Sample size is too small Go do it for 10 tries of each

2023-05-05 00:07

4 replies

2023-05-05 00:26

wouldnt 10 cases be less

2023-05-05 01:13

2 replies

I think he means 10 accounts

2023-05-05 15:34

1 reply

ye ima just pull out my 10 steam accounts

2023-05-10 00:26

Interesting might try it out

2023-05-05 03:25

3 replies

let me know how it goes

2023-05-06 09:28

2 replies

Up 850 rn

2023-05-06 22:25

1 reply

good for you

2023-05-09 16:09

Small sample size, you need to do this 100 more times for definite results

2023-05-05 03:36

1 reply

100 more times would take a lot of time and money lmao

2023-05-05 05:16

you'd need a much higher sample for real results

2023-05-05 05:18

2 replies

100 cases is a lot tho

2023-05-05 05:23

1 reply

not even close to enough statistically, u got lucky this time so stop rn or u definitely gonna lose if u keep "testing"

2023-05-06 00:47

LOL KEEP LOOKING FOR CAUSAL RELATIONS IN ITERATIVE SYSTEMS YOU FUCKING IDIOT

2023-05-05 05:19

5 replies

Its not casual i did the analyzis bro

2023-05-05 14:07

4 replies

... are you a troll or just that stupid? It's causal, not casual. fucking learn how to read my guy

2023-05-05 18:45

3 replies

chill out no need to flame me i just misread it my bad lol

2023-05-05 19:17

2 replies

listen, you're a sitting there trying to figure out if rolling a die impacts the next die roll and so on. it is an exercise in navel gazing. I'm the only friend you've ever had. don't bet, you aren't a shark. save your money.

2023-05-05 19:38

1 reply

Holly molly!

2023-05-06 01:01

why would you use these sites in the first place? i have skinport to cash in money, i don't want to lose? ))

2023-05-05 14:13

9 replies

its fun :)

2023-05-05 23:54

Is skinport really safe and trusted?

2023-05-09 05:45

7 replies

Read Customer Service Reviews of skinport.com Trustpilot trustpilot.com › ... › Online Marketplace The first marketplace with convenient item-and-sticker keyword search. A gorgeous, rapidly rendered and smooth user interface genuinely in a league of its own. Rating: 4,9 · ‎16,534 reviews 4.9/5 stars and 16k reviews - so definitely is the safest one. i'm using it on a daily basis.

2023-05-09 10:48

5 replies

skinport selling fees are way too high, sell on csgofloat or buff or something p2p

2023-05-09 11:11

3 replies

oh yeah, sell on csgoscam instead of the safest site for 2 percent extra. good advice, got more? also i had listed on csgofloat items for months with ZERO sales, and on skinport sold them quite fast. i think it matters in the end if you're actually selling those items in the end? lol

2023-05-09 11:23

2 replies

imagine being such a brainlet that you think peer2peer trading is a scam (aka you yourself sending the item to the buyer while the funds are already in escrow) + no trade cooldown

2023-05-09 11:20

1 reply

bro imagine making good/very good amount of money on skinport > 0 (ZERO) on csgofloat. yes, i'm crying right now media.tenor.com/dYLvyNRhV8sAAAAC/woody-h..

2023-05-09 11:30

Thanks a lot! Will definitely try it out.

2023-05-09 19:35

yes

2023-05-09 23:31

good investigation. you should do the same but with 10k cases maybe more

2023-05-05 18:51

1 reply

working on it now

2023-05-20 12:27

NT JasonR

2023-05-05 21:52

Nice way of spending your time

2023-05-05 23:58

1 reply

2023-05-12 14:46

ok but how about

2023-05-06 00:07

1 reply

how about what

2023-05-06 00:41

RTP is based around 1million cases not 100.

2023-05-06 00:44

1 reply

its more than 1 million cases i think

2023-05-06 04:45

not big enough sample size. spend atleast 10k per code to get better data.

2023-05-06 00:47

3 replies

just spend 10k lol

2023-05-06 07:44

2 replies

you wouldn't run a clinical drug study on 5 people while only spending 100 dollars on supplies would you?

2023-05-06 07:45

1 reply

i think thats a bad analogy lmao

2023-05-06 08:09

U need more sample size to get relevant data, 2 accounts with one of each is not good enough

2023-05-06 00:59

1 reply

i dont have more accounts

2023-05-14 00:38

There's probably just a big variance

2023-05-06 01:00

1 reply

could be but my friends have noticed the same thing

2023-05-09 18:36

The sample isn't big enough to make such conclusion

2023-05-06 04:48

1 reply

thats what people been saying yeah

2023-05-07 08:30

are there any big wins that you got like a skin that is 10 or 20x the price of the case?

2023-05-06 09:30

1 reply

nova hyper beast 28.70 coins is the best item i got on both accounts

2023-05-06 18:33

Unless there is a proof by checking the code, its just another day loosing money

2023-05-06 09:31

1 reply

but i won

2023-05-11 07:46

Better idea: Get job

2023-05-09 05:56

1 reply

job to gamble

2023-05-09 15:56

What's the point of giving better odds for ones who use streamer's code?..

2023-05-09 11:06

1 reply

to get new people hooked maybe?

2023-05-09 16:08

you realize you're betting on RNG seeds/tickets and the items you "win" from the cases are meaningless, right?

2023-05-09 11:09

1 reply

what is bro talking about

2023-05-09 16:02

average gambling addict

2023-05-09 11:13

1 reply

real

2023-05-09 17:06

You can't run two tests and determine whether something is true just based on the results. You'll need to take hundreds of samples to determine whether the difference is significant. In other words it could just be you happened to get luckier with JR's code, but it was just random.

2023-05-11 22:23

3 replies

my friends been noticing the same thing so its not just 2 accounts

2023-05-12 11:21

2 replies

So it's 3-4, still not a lot

2023-05-31 23:41

1 reply

maybe maybe not

2023-06-05 11:51

You dropped your tin foil hat

2023-05-14 00:43

1 reply

you dont think this could be real?

2023-05-14 02:29

someone explain to me in fnatic vs monte vertigo at the end game Boros got 31 kills but the result on hltv was 32.thanks!

2023-05-15 08:31

3 replies

what is bro on about

2023-05-18 13:23

I think HLTV counts suicides and TKs differently

2023-05-31 23:41

1 reply

LMAOO

2023-06-06 01:40

lil bros got it twisted

2023-05-15 08:40

3 replies

get it twisted. start gambling. gambling is an investment and an investment only

2023-05-17 23:08

2 replies

You can only lose 100% of your money gambling but can win 100000%+ back

2023-05-18 19:21

1 reply

the real statistic weve all been waiting for

2023-05-19 12:07

working on trying this out with 1000 cases

2023-05-23 05:23

1 reply

halfway there

2023-05-31 01:06

To understand - you need to answer the question - why is this site? I think it's just a coincidence. the sample is very small, you could get any result.

2023-05-23 06:51

1 reply

what is that question lmao

2023-05-28 15:33

I used jasonr and lost house Please report this thread!!!

2023-05-25 03:35

1 reply

gamba from macdonalds

2023-05-29 02:52

98.7% of gamblers quit before they win big bois

2023-05-25 03:53

1 reply

real and true

2023-05-28 01:26

The fact that csgo tournaments are often held in Malta should give you a clue to how rigged this thing is. Just bet little bits and enjoy what you can afford to lose.

2023-06-05 12:12

3 replies

what do tournaments have to do with this

2023-06-11 01:05

2 replies

You can only bet in Maltese market if you are in the country. The players can match fix if they are in Malta.

2023-06-12 08:43

1 reply

no1 is talking about matchbetting

2023-06-14 00:00

Doable in the past, impossible nowadays, fkin Heroic ruined my money lol

2023-06-06 01:41

1 reply

wrong thread bro

2023-06-20 04:43

bro..?

2023-06-07 11:13

1 reply

what

2023-06-22 03:15

100 cases is not enough to draw any reasonable conclusions. Law of the market states that on average you will be at a loss.

2023-06-07 12:01

Could be a lure or a leak. If it's a lure it's designed for you to lose in the long run anyway. If it's a leak it will be fixed soon and the site may even refuse to pay you, since you've used an exploit (read T&C of the site you're using, thing like that often mentioned). 99% it's the first option and 99% the system you described actually takes place

2023-06-07 15:22