Na`Vi vs. Titan preview in numbers

In this second mini preview of today we take a look at how Natus Vincere and Titan have matched up statistically with their current rosters ahead of their semi-final.

Na`Vi and Titan have been both stuck in no man's land for most of 2015 - they have been outside of the true elite caliber of teams, but still capable of scoring the occasional upset.

However, neither has been consistent enough, or had high enough peaks, to warrant a look as a potential elite team. Instead, they've been fighting to catch a glimpse of success.

The team led by Danylo "Zeus" Teslenko has won one title in 2015 - ESL Pro Series Winter 2014/2015 Finals - which ironically came over Kévin "Ex6TenZ" Droolans's Titan in the grand final.

Since Na`Vi added Egor "flamie" Vasilyev as a replacement for their now-coach Sergey "starix" Ischuk, the two sides have played each other on eight maps, as seen below:

Date Score Map Event
June 2 CIS Na`Vi 19-16 France Titan overpass ESL ESEA
April 12 CIS Na`Vi 16-13 France Titan cobblestone Germany EPS Winter Finals
  CIS Na`Vi 7-16 France Titan cache Germany EPS Winter Finals
  CIS Na`Vi 16-12 France Titan mirage Germany EPS Winter Finals
March 31 CIS Na`Vi 16-9 France Titan dust2 FACEIT
  CIS Na`Vi 19-21 France Titan inferno FACEIT
March 28 CIS Na`Vi 10-16 France Titan cache Ukraine SLTV XII Finals
  CIS Na`Vi 11-16 France Titan dust2 Ukraine SLTV XII Finals
Average   14.3-14.9      

As you can see from the round averages, these two teams have been extremely close - with a mere average of 0.6 rounds per game separating the two over eight maps.

Both teams have beat each other on four maps - good for a 50-50 split - and in terms of series played offline the score is also tied, with each having a best-of-three series to their name.

With only eight maps in total played, and six different maps, it's hard to draw any real conclusions, but below is the map-results matrix for these two teams:

Map/Wins CIS Na`Vi France Titan
cache 0 2
cobblestone 1 0
dust2 1 1
inferno 0 1
mirage 1 0
overpass 1 0
Total 4 4

Titan holds a 2-0 record on de_cache and de_dust2 is tied at 1-1, while Na`Vi have won single games on three maps, and Titan on de_inferno, thus leaving the two practically tied.

It gets far more interesting when we delve into player statistics in their eight head-to-head maps, which span the past two and a half months, so they're fairly recent:

Player statistics from all of Na`Vi's games versus Titan, post-flamie joining

The star of this match-up so far has been Dan "apEX" Madesclaire, who also had a stellar first day at DreamHack Open Summer, having elevated his 2015 level of play up by +0.11 in rating.

Most players suffer here, as their opposition in these matches is tougher than their average, and hence their rating is lower than the benchmark, which is rating for 2015.

Notable drop-offs include flamie at -0.11, Kenny "kennyS" Schrub at -0.09, and the big one - Ladislav "GuardiaN" Kovács with an unfathomable -0.31, which is greater than the difference in 2015 rating between him and Ex6TenZ.

Looking over at the statistics in Na`Vi's wins - to give an idea of who the ex-CIS based team needs to perform to win - it's somewhat shocking that the answer is not GuardiaN.

Player statistics from the maps that Na`Vi won over Titan

In fact, GuardiaN has played poorly in Na`Vi's wins too - though still much, much better than in losses - while Ioann "Edward" Sukhariev and flamie have done the best overall.

In Titan's losses the largest drop-off is, oddly enough, in the performance of Ex6TenZ at -0.38, while the rest of his team have all suffered roughly -0.15.

Glancing at Titan's four wins, once again apEX has been a monster - but he has gained a lot of help from kennyS, who clearly has gotten the better of foe GuardiaN in their wins.

Player statistics from the maps Titan won over Na`Vi

Titan have all gotten better across the board in their wins, and all of Na`Vi have - unsurprisingly, suffered tough beats in individual performance in their four losses to Titan.

These two teams match-up well and come out fairly equal using just about any statistical metric, which suggests we should have a great semi-final in our hands at 17:30.

If there is one thing to take away from this analysis, however, it's this: GuardiaN has been negated to a non-factor by Titan. Let's see if that continues today.

Follow HLTV.org's @lurppis_ on Twitter.

Ukraine Ioann 'Edward' Sukhariev
Ioann 'Edward' Sukhariev
Age:
31
Team:
No team
Rating 1.0:
1.00
Maps played:
1414
KPR:
0.69
DPR:
0.67
APR:
0.13
Ukraine Danylo 'Zeus' Teslenko
Danylo 'Zeus' Teslenko
Age:
32
Team:
No team
Rating 1.0:
0.92
Maps played:
1400
KPR:
0.63
DPR:
0.69
APR:
0.17
Slovakia Ladislav 'GuardiaN' Kovács
Ladislav 'GuardiaN' Kovács
Age:
28
Rating 1.0:
1.12
Maps played:
1450
KPR:
0.75
DPR:
0.62
APR:
0.11
France Dan 'apEX' Madesclaire
Dan 'apEX' Madesclaire
Age:
26
Team:
Rating 1.0:
1.04
Maps played:
1528
KPR:
0.74
DPR:
0.70
APR:
0.16
Russia Egor 'flamie' Vasilyev
Egor 'flamie' Vasilyev
Age:
22
Rating 1.0:
1.05
Maps played:
1239
KPR:
0.72
DPR:
0.67
APR:
0.14
Belgium Kévin 'Ex6TenZ' Droolans
Kévin 'Ex6TenZ' Droolans
Age:
29
Team:
No team
Rating 1.0:
0.94
Maps played:
1393
KPR:
0.62
DPR:
0.65
APR:
0.15
France Kenny 'kennyS' Schrub
Kenny 'kennyS' Schrub
Age:
24
Team:
Rating 1.0:
1.14
Maps played:
1577
KPR:
0.77
DPR:
0.63
APR:
0.11
Ukraine Sergey 'starix' Ischuk
Sergey 'starix' Ischuk
Age:
31
Team:
Rating 1.0:
0.97
Maps played:
573
KPR:
0.66
DPR:
0.67
APR:
0.14
#1
France soxZ 
gl
2015-06-15 14:24
kennys best guardian
2015-06-15 14:25
yeah, but 2 of the wins being on cache where na'vi probably got destroyed because they suck on that map xd
2015-06-15 14:32
very cool
2015-06-15 14:26
gogo Titan!
2015-06-15 14:28
lol
2015-06-15 14:28
#6
Russia dsee 
go navi
2015-06-15 14:29
ez isreal
2015-06-15 14:29
1. GuardiaN ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... 97. kennyS 98. allu
2015-06-15 14:31
GuardiaN is always a Non-Factor when they are playing against Titan, please don't post retarded stuff
2015-06-15 14:40
MisterLukyso - <3 kennyS Wonder why you posted that...
2015-06-15 14:44
Probably because it's true? Hell lurppis even says that in the article.
2015-06-15 14:48
who is lurppis? nobody, we dont see this cunt on events anymore
2015-06-15 14:52
Who is TIMXD? Some mad guardian fanboy
2015-06-15 15:29
hes same shit as Thorin. two sofa analytics
2015-06-15 14:52
You are more retarded than I imagined..
2015-06-15 15:15
As opposed to field analysts ??
2015-06-15 16:54
Because I can actually use my brain, unlike some people ^
2015-06-15 14:52
Ayyy, braliukai, rekt russki. :D GG :)
2015-06-15 14:53
in the last final when they were playing, GuardiaN destroyed Titan along with kennyS..
2015-06-15 15:58
Dude GuardiaN is an insane player, he drops 30-40 bombs against other teams, but most of the time against Titan he doesn't go over 20 or even less.. That's what I mean, Titan CAN shut GuardiaN down, but kennyS is nowhere near his God Mode anymore ;( It will be close!
2015-06-15 16:00
awesome stats! do more of this
2015-06-15 14:32
#11
Australia BCP 
important to note though, that from the last 5 matchups navi won 4, and the single loss came from cache which is currently their worst map
2015-06-15 14:39
absolutely loving these articles
2015-06-15 14:41
yeah these are good
2015-06-15 14:44
apex carry
2015-06-15 14:42
kennyS>GuardiaN hltv confirmed
2015-06-15 14:45
kennyS > GuardiaN hltv confirmed
2015-06-15 14:49
CARRYS
2015-06-15 14:50
guardiaN vs kennys and E6Z
2015-06-15 15:31
I don't see how games from as far back as March are relevant at all tbh. Titan have been playing like shit recently and I'll be surprised if they even get a single map in this matchup
2015-06-15 15:46
ez titan
2015-06-15 15:57
Navi got this, Guardian in godmode.
2015-06-15 16:14
The only thing you should really put into this is that there is no way Na'vi will let cache go through this veto. While i am guessing cbble will be a choice for titan to remove. Although i understand you should count every game but putting in 2 games on Cache where as i said will not happen in this bo3 is quite misleading with the stats.
2015-06-15 16:18
Fat flamie sux balls
2015-06-15 16:42
#39
Belarus 4rz 
GO NATUS VINCERE!
2015-06-15 17:02
gogo
2015-06-15 19:23
apex navi destroyer ? :D
2015-06-15 23:02
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