Na`Vi vs. Titan preview in numbers
In this second mini preview of today we take a look at how Natus Vincere and Titan have matched up statistically with their current rosters ahead of their semi-final.
Na`Vi and Titan have been both stuck in no man's land for most of 2015 - they have been outside of the true elite caliber of teams, but still capable of scoring the occasional upset.
However, neither has been consistent enough, or had high enough peaks, to warrant a look as a potential elite team. Instead, they've been fighting to catch a glimpse of success.
|June 2||Na`Vi||19-16||Titan||overpass||ESL ESEA|
|April 12||Na`Vi||16-13||Titan||cobblestone||EPS Winter Finals|
|Na`Vi||7-16||Titan||cache||EPS Winter Finals|
|Na`Vi||16-12||Titan||mirage||EPS Winter Finals|
|March 28||Na`Vi||10-16||Titan||cache||SLTV XII Finals|
|Na`Vi||11-16||Titan||dust2||SLTV XII Finals|
As you can see from the round averages, these two teams have been extremely close - with a mere average of 0.6 rounds per game separating the two over eight maps.
Both teams have beat each other on four maps - good for a 50-50 split - and in terms of series played offline the score is also tied, with each having a best-of-three series to their name.
With only eight maps in total played, and six different maps, it's hard to draw any real conclusions, but below is the map-results matrix for these two teams:
Titan holds a 2-0 record on de_cache and de_dust2 is tied at 1-1, while Na`Vi have won single games on three maps, and Titan on de_inferno, thus leaving the two practically tied.
It gets far more interesting when we delve into player statistics in their eight head-to-head maps, which span the past two and a half months, so they're fairly recent:
Player statistics from all of Na`Vi's games versus Titan, post-flamie joining
Most players suffer here, as their opposition in these matches is tougher than their average, and hence their rating is lower than the benchmark, which is rating for 2015.
Notable drop-offs include flamie at -0.11, Kenny "kennyS" Schrub at -0.09, and the big one - Ladislav "GuardiaN" Kovács with an unfathomable -0.31, which is greater than the difference in 2015 rating between him and Ex6TenZ.
Looking over at the statistics in Na`Vi's wins - to give an idea of who the ex-CIS based team needs to perform to win - it's somewhat shocking that the answer is not GuardiaN.
Player statistics from the maps that Na`Vi won over Titan
In Titan's losses the largest drop-off is, oddly enough, in the performance of Ex6TenZ at -0.38, while the rest of his team have all suffered roughly -0.15.
Player statistics from the maps Titan won over Na`Vi
Titan have all gotten better across the board in their wins, and all of Na`Vi have - unsurprisingly, suffered tough beats in individual performance in their four losses to Titan.
These two teams match-up well and come out fairly equal using just about any statistical metric, which suggests we should have a great semi-final in our hands at 17:30.
If there is one thing to take away from this analysis, however, it's this: GuardiaN has been negated to a non-factor by Titan. Let's see if that continues today.
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