NiP vs. EnVyUs statistical preview
With NiP taking on EnVyUs in the grand final of Gfinity Summer Masters I within the hour, we've put together a small statistical preview to get you ready for the action.
These two rosters have faced off an overwhelmingly many times - on total of twenty-two maps dating back to February 22. To make the analysis more relevant, we have narrowed down our sample size.
With six maps played after April 23 - more than two months back - we have focused solely on those six, and ignored the sixteen others in orders to get more accurate and useful information out of our analysis.
natu's coached NiP are slight favorites in the grand final
For the record, in their twenty-two encounters EnVyUs are up sizably, 14-8 in maps, with tied scores only on de_cobblestone and de_dust2, and a huge 4-1 lead on de_inferno.
Once focused on the more recent games - which give a better idea of these teams' capabilities and their players form in their head-to-head series - NiP are actually up 4-2 in maps.
|11 Jun||NiP||16-3||EnVyUs||de_cobblestone||ESL ESEA|
|24 Apr||NiP||16-11||EnVyUs||de_mirage||CCS Finals|
|24 Apr||NiP||36-33||EnVyUs||de_dust2||CCS Finals|
|24 Apr||NiP||10-16||EnVyUs||de_cache||CCS Finals|
With only six maps played, there's no need to create a map matrix, as you can easily see the teams are tied on de_cache, the BoysInBlue lead on de_train, and NiP have a 1-0 edge on others.
NiP beat EnVyUs in a best-of-three series at CCS Finals - including the marathon 36-33 overtime game that inflates the average score - and the three more recent games were played online.
Let's then take a look at how these players have fared overall on the six maps, with statistics combined for their games from our database:
In fact, the only player whose rating is above their 2015 rating in these matches is NiP's lonely Finn, with a rating surplus of 0.05. Others range between 0.01 and 0.21 in the negative.
Then, let's take a look at each team's statistics in their wins. First up are statistics for the four maps NiP have won out of six:
Now, in order to draw some comparisons between the two, are the statistics for the two maps - small sample size, but others were far too old to matter - EnVy have won:
Most notably allu is actually the only player whose rating has been better in losses than in wins - an anomaly, especially since his rating in wins is equal to his 2015 average.
Average differential in rating difference from wins to losses among these ten players in these series were 0.22, with Fabien "kioShiMa" Fiey with a second smallest change at 0.13.
Gfinity Summer Masters I grand final is set to go live at 19:00 and you can find all stream information as well as the map veto process from our hot match page.
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