Na`Vi vs. Virtus.pro preview

With Na`Vi's match versus Virtus.pro headlining group B at CEVO Professional Season 7 Finals, we have recycled the preview from last week with new analysis.

Basically all of the data for this preview comes from the one posted last week for day two of FACEIT Stage 2 Finals in Valencia, where Kinguin upset Virtus.pro and the match-up never took place.

As a result, and with their expected game likely being the highlight of the entire group stage and with that, first two days, we have put together a slightly updated version of the preview.


Zeus's calling is a big part of Na`Vi's success 

As pointed out previously, Virtus.pro actually have a very strong head-to-head track record versus Danylo "Zeus" Teslenko's team, but as with so many other things, it's not all as good it seems.

Despite having a 9-3 map record in the past three months, the two teams have only played against each other on three maps offline - with Virtus winning two in overtime, and Na`Vi claiming the most recent one.

Date Team Score Team Map Event
July 16 CIS Na`Vi 16-12 Poland Virtus.pro de_overpass FACEIT S2 Finals
June 24 CIS Na`Vi 10-16 Poland Virtus.pro de_cobblestone CEVO
June 24 CIS Na`Vi 6-16 Poland Virtus.pro de_inferno CEVO
June 17 CIS Na`Vi 8-16 Poland Virtus.pro de_cache ESL ESEA
June 11 CIS Na`Vi 2-16 Poland Virtus.pro de_cobblestone FACEIT
June 9 CIS Na`Vi 6-16 Poland Virtus.pro de_dust2 ESL ESEA
May 26 CIS Na`Vi 17-19 Poland Virtus.pro de_train Counter Pit
May 26 CIS Na`Vi 16-8 Poland Virtus.pro de_cobblestone Counter Pit
May 17 CIS Na`Vi 22-25 Poland Virtus.pro de_inferno Gfinity Spring 2
May 17 CIS Na`Vi 17-19 Poland Virtus.pro de_train Gfinity Spring 2
May 13 CIS Na`Vi 16-14 Poland Virtus.pro de_cobblestone Champ. League
May 13 CIS Na`Vi 11-16 Poland Virtus.pro de_mirage Champ. League
 
Average: CIS Na`Vi 12.3-16.1 Poland Virtus.pro    

Barely outside of our scope of three months is also Na`Vi's best-of-three victory over the Poles at ESL Pro League Winter 2014/2015 Finals, which would make the series much more even.

In addition, Na`Vi, as a whole, have been trending upwards - by most accounts, they are now the third best team in the world, part of a very rare elite - while the Poles have struggled.

Virtus outplaced Na`Vi at FACEIT Stage 1 Finals, and Gfinity Spring Masters II, but have since only done well at ESL ESEA - where Na`Vi wasn't present - with two horrible showings.

Na`Vi on the other hand boast six straight top four finishes, including wins at ESWC and SLTV StarSeries XIII Finals, and a runners-up finish to fnatic at DreamHack Summer.

With that in mind, let's take a look at the player statistics in the twelve maps these two teams have played each other on. Worth noting is Na`Vi have lost nine, leading to worse stats overall.

Player statistics in the twelve qualifying Na`Vi vs. Virtus.pro maps

The biggest differences from the norm that you can easily spot are the poor performance of Ladislav "GuardiaN" Kovács, and the strong showings of Jarosław "pashaBiceps" Jarząbkowski.

Na`Vi's play style is built around the consistent AWPing of GuardiaN, so it's not surprising that when he struggles, so does the team. However, the reason why may be more interesting.

While there is no data currently to double check it, one reason may be that both of these teams love buying - a lot. As a result, it's likely that GuardiaN simply winds up playing less with his beloved AWP in this series.

Player statistics in Na`Vi's three qualifying map wins over Virtus.pro

In Na`Vi's three wins, which have come on de_cobblestone - twice - and on de_overpass, GuardiaN has still been a non-factor with a very similar rating as overall.

The best performer on the team coached by former player Sergey "starix" Ischuk has been, by far, the Russian youngster Denis "seized" Kostin.

However, Ioann "Edward" Sukhariev has also played at a near-superstar level in their wins, making up for the invisibility of his AWPing Slovak teammate's weak showings.

For Virtus.pro, everyone has struggled in their losses -- except Janusz "Snax" Pogorzelski, whose rating is actually higher, suggesting he hasn't been a big impact in their wins.

Player statistics in Virtus.pro's nine qualifying map wins over Na`Vi

In Virtus.pro's wins, on the other hand, it's been the duo of Filip "NEO" Kubski and pashaBiceps who have done the most work, with near 1.20 level ratings for each.

The newest members of the team, who near their two-year anniversaries, have not done so well versus Na`Vi -- recording the two poorest ratings for the Polish side in their wins.

For Na`Vi, as mentioned, GuardiaN's rating is actually better in losses than wins, showing how little impact he has had in this series -- so far. One can never count a player like him out.

On the other hand, the biggest drop-offs have been the duo of Edward and seized, while Zeus's fragging has been weak -- but he doesn't frag much in Na`Vi's wins in general, either.


Can pasha's Virtus.pro bounce back with a win over Na`Vi to top group B? 

Despite their one-sided head-to-head match records, one must favor Na`Vi slightly in the match-up that should, by all accounts, determine the winners of group B at CEVO Finals.

They are in stronger form - and have been for a while - and proven to be an elite team, while Virtus.pro have been taken down by weaker and weaker teams in recent times.

With the game's next major, ESL One Cologne, now just four weeks away, it's getting close enough that teams will want to gain confidence to feel better going into the more important event.

For now, these teams face different tasks, some outlined in our storylines article. On Saturday, starting at 16:00, we should see which one is better right now.

Follow HLTV.org's @lurppis_ on Twitter.

Ukraine Ioann 'Edward' Sukhariev
Ioann 'Edward' Sukhariev
Age:
31
Team:
No team
Rating 1.0:
1.00
Maps played:
1414
KPR:
0.69
DPR:
0.67
APR:
0.13
Russia Denis 'seized' Kostin
Denis 'seized' Kostin
Age:
25
Team:
No team
Rating 1.0:
0.99
Maps played:
1224
KPR:
0.68
DPR:
0.67
APR:
0.15
Ukraine Danylo 'Zeus' Teslenko
Danylo 'Zeus' Teslenko
Age:
32
Team:
No team
Rating 1.0:
0.92
Maps played:
1400
KPR:
0.63
DPR:
0.69
APR:
0.17
Poland Filip 'NEO' Kubski
Filip 'NEO' Kubski
Age:
32
Team:
No team
Rating 1.0:
0.97
Maps played:
1681
KPR:
0.66
DPR:
0.67
APR:
0.17
Slovakia Ladislav 'GuardiaN' Kovács
Ladislav 'GuardiaN' Kovács
Age:
28
Rating 1.0:
1.12
Maps played:
1450
KPR:
0.75
DPR:
0.62
APR:
0.11
Poland Janusz 'Snax' Pogorzelski
Janusz 'Snax' Pogorzelski
Age:
26
Team:
Rating 1.0:
1.04
Maps played:
1597
KPR:
0.70
DPR:
0.66
APR:
0.13
Poland Jarosław 'pashaBiceps' Jarząbkowski
Jarosław 'pashaBiceps' Jarząbkowski
Age:
31
Team:
Rating 1.0:
1.02
Maps played:
1592
KPR:
0.72
DPR:
0.69
APR:
0.13
Ukraine Sergey 'starix' Ischuk
Sergey 'starix' Ischuk
Age:
31
Team:
Rating 1.0:
0.97
Maps played:
573
KPR:
0.66
DPR:
0.67
APR:
0.14
ez taz
2015-07-24 01:48
swag
2015-07-24 01:50
vp low pasha only likes skins
2015-07-24 02:00
And cocaine
2015-07-24 06:39
and cocaine on skin
2015-07-24 12:33
And skin on cocaine
2015-07-24 18:47
and crying
2015-07-24 22:17
zeus always last [*]
2015-07-24 02:36
#85
Poland n1u 
Because he is a Na'Vi IGL?
2015-07-24 16:13
So what? It doesnt mean he cant get kills they have a coach so his work isnt that big as IGL...
2015-07-24 16:19
so what? a bottom fragger who is not igl is likely to be kicked out first
2015-07-24 20:28
Did i sayd he was gonna get kicked? I only sayd he is always last and thats the truth also being an IGL isnt an excuse for being bottom fragger.
2015-07-24 20:34
it is a fucking excuse to some extent, coz he makes the whole team perform better or ur just a fan of mr. baiter 'happy'
2015-07-25 00:52
It isnt an excuse if he cant kill and its very good cqalling then just go for coach....
2015-07-26 22:50
fox always last
2015-07-25 11:20
#49
 | 
Belarus f1NESSEA 
ez biceps
2015-07-24 09:41
#3
World ba$e 
navi easy
2015-07-24 01:48
only winner if xantares on team?!?!
2015-07-24 01:49
#6
Norway DeanW 
gl pasha my brother
2015-07-24 01:51
#11
shox | 
Canada dB- 
"You're not my friend, you're my brother, my friend." - pasha
2015-07-24 01:57
to whom did he say that again? :D got some link?
2015-07-24 02:14
#25
Europe ssk. 
He said that once on his stream... Now you can hear it whenever someone subscribes his twitch channel.. "You're not my friend, you're my brother, my friend"
2015-07-24 02:22
#33
 | 
Brazil RisenNTC 
that's true, so funny ;-;
2015-07-24 03:09
*"You're not my freend, you are my brother, my freend." - pasha
2015-07-24 10:03
#20
Mexico hu5h 
dont see why people think hes 100% the problem with VP
2015-07-24 02:08
ppl think that? o.0
2015-07-24 02:51
#75
 | 
Poland qbik 
ppl think? 0_o
2015-07-24 14:13
Truly an unexciting match up for me. Whatever...
2015-07-24 01:55
You must be definitely excited for Luminosity vs Tempo Storm..
2015-07-24 01:58
coz youd rather watch hunden gtfo
2015-07-24 02:54
Cmon man, everyone likes Hunden
2015-07-24 06:05
Truly, seeing s1mple getting rekt by the one and only HUNDEN after leaving his former team... even when not betting skins i got value from that match.
2015-07-24 06:23
Don't you dare to talk shit about hunden. He is my god damn hero!
2015-07-24 18:46
The three maps for this should most likely be Overpass, Train and Cobble
2015-07-24 01:56
na'vi vs vp to top b group before event started, murica are you mad bro?
2015-07-24 01:57
Do you think that either Luminosity or Tempo Storm can take VP down in Bo3? Let alone Na'vi
2015-07-24 01:59
you didnt understand, read again "[...]murica are you mad bro?"
2015-07-24 02:33
Does anyone in NA expect either of those teams to make it through groups? I don't.
2015-07-24 22:06
NaVi easy rn
2015-07-24 02:00
GL NaVi! :)
2015-07-24 02:01
navi 2-0 16-6 on both maps
2015-07-24 02:03
16-0, 16-0 ez win na'vi.
2015-07-24 02:18
Can't wait for Top Ranking and the amount of BS he'll say under this post
2015-07-24 02:27
Thought the exact same thing. One of the worst users on HLTV.
2015-07-24 04:21
with how well navi have been playing lately and how shit vp have been playing lately, i dont think this one will be too much fun to watch.
2015-07-24 02:58
This matchup isn't even for sure yet, lmfao.
2015-07-24 02:59
#35
AZK | 
United States tzvn 
lurpis making previews before the match is even guaranteed lol
2015-07-24 03:54
It's a statistical preview of their group game...
2015-07-24 12:15
If VP lose and Na'vi win and vice versa, no.
2015-07-24 17:12
Yeah you might of had a valid point if it was a bo1 group stage format... All matches (group stage and playoffs) will be played in best-of-three mode.
2015-07-24 18:10
Just had a look at the cevo site and you're right/I'm wrong. If navi or vp lose vs lg & ts in a bo3 It'd be the most surprising result in csgo history though. Guess we'll find out in a few hours!
2015-07-24 18:30
wow had no idea VP had NaVi's number like that
2015-07-24 04:06
#39
blameF | 
Andorra Kidiot 
Worth noting
2015-07-24 04:22
luminosity and tempo out of the tournament early? lurppis are disrespecting
2015-07-24 04:33
tempo storm to surprise and come out of groups
2015-07-24 04:41
Go vp! I believe <3
2015-07-24 06:13
Quit swaying lurpiss
2015-07-24 06:20
great read as usual.
2015-07-24 08:00
c9 > VP 100%
2015-07-24 08:54
yess last 10 matches 10 loss
2015-07-24 10:46
no chance my friend
2015-07-24 10:16
#55
 | 
Guatemala Bann3r 
Lurppis next time, show stats on LAN :) but gj
2015-07-24 10:35
16-0
2015-07-24 11:14
pashaBiceps will carry this
2015-07-24 11:24
no chance my friend
2015-07-24 11:28
#61
 | 
Poland Adis42 
ez for pasha inhuman reaction ;D
2015-07-24 11:38
hahaha ignoring the NA teams as it should be.
2015-07-24 12:02
#65
Poland yrc 
Dumb Hltv as always(lurpis) they first need to get past Tempo !
2015-07-24 12:18
#69
Australia BCP 
true
2015-07-24 12:39
This game is expected, want me to paste definition of expected?
2015-07-24 12:42
Pasha should let go saying "my friend". That phrase got stupid, tiresome and untrue.
2015-07-24 13:01
no chance virtus.throw
2015-07-24 13:49
navi>vp they said XD nice joke 8-4 for vp
2015-07-24 13:53
#77
 | 
Brazil seltinn1 
ez for na vi
2015-07-24 14:35
wow VP has a nice winning record vs NaVi
2015-07-24 14:45
snax is under-performing lately. thats sad imo. btw. neo is a beast in last few months
2015-07-24 15:14
What do you mean Navi v Virtus.Pro? You can't rule out the NA teams anything is possible...
2015-07-24 15:32
#84
nylon | 
Netherlands offroad 
Stopped reading at Zeus's
2015-07-24 15:43
Paskabiceps
2015-07-24 17:42
16-0 LOL cya pasha fangays
2015-07-24 18:02
okay lurppis
2015-07-24 18:46
This one is ez for Na`Vi.
2015-07-24 18:50
#98
 | 
CIS Exanto 
2ez4 sloVAC
2015-07-24 21:06
NICE
2015-07-25 00:01
VP win against some good team and then immediately lose against a T3 team in the semi. I swear this team is so inconsistent and random its amazing.
2015-07-25 00:02
vp EASY if they can get cbble & inferno
2015-07-25 08:26
Not inferno, but overpass Anyway. +1 :D
2015-07-25 10:31
Slovac power :D
2015-07-25 09:17
I can really see Virtus.Pro taking it. After horrible performance at Dreamhack Valencia and losing to Kinguin 16-0, they managed to get up and win against TSM, the winner of DH Valencia. We have seen few changes like Neo with AWP, and it worked very well. Statistics are with Virtus.Pro, and my heart is also with them :) The main problem for VP is that one day they can play like the best team ever, and the other day losing to T3 team. My prediction: 2-1 VP I'm oriented to go mid+ on VP
2015-07-25 10:27
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