Na`Vi vs. fnatic semi-final preview

Striker
July 27th, 2016 18:16

With ELEAGUE's final stages quickly approaching we take a look at the first semi-final featuring top-five teams Natus Vincere and fnatic, analyze both teams' strengths and weaknesses, recent history, head-to-head results and more.

ELEAGUE's $1,400,000 first season is slowly approaching the finish line as we only have three matches left before the champion is crowned.

To quickly remind you of how we got to the last-four stage: since late May, when Group A was played out, a total of 24 teams have fought in six groups for six direct spots in the playoffs.


Cologne left us wondering what would've happened had we gotten the Na`Vi-fnatic semi-final

Second-placed teams and two teams with the highest points out of third places then joined up in the last-chance qualifier to battle it out for the remaining two quarter-final spots.

Finally, last week we were down to the last-eight stage, where we saw favourites fnatic and Natus Vincere take a step further into the playoffs. That is the first semi-final, scheduled for 23:00 on Friday, July 29th, we will be talking about here to analyze their head-to-head history, recent results, outstanding players and more:

fnatic (#2)   Natus Vincere (#4)
Sweden Olof "olofmeister" Kajbjer    Slovakia Ladislav "GuardiaN" Kovács
Sweden Dennis "dennis" Edman   Russia Denis "seized" Kostin
Sweden Robin "flusha" Rönnquist vs. Ukraine Ioann "Edward" Sukhariev
Sweden Jesper "JW" Wecksell   Russia Egor "flamie" Vasilyev
Sweden Freddy "KRIMZ" Johansson   Ukraine Danylo "Zeus" Teslenko

ESL One Cologne promised to give us this exact semi-final and experts were split on how this particular match-up would unfold, though Liquid's sudden uprise robbed us of that possibility and so the dispute will see its verdict given out at ELEAGUE, three weeks later.

Recent results

olofmeister's return to active duty will mark the beginning of recent results here, as we'll assess how fnatic has fared since the king returned, which is roughly two months ago in time for ELEAGUE's group stage.

While the Swedes showed obvious signs of shakiness upon their best player's return, playing two close Caches with TSM and losing Mirage to the North American squad and FaZe, they still secured first place in Group D to advance to playoffs.

fnatic then travelled to London for ECS Season 1 Finals and had to come back from a significant deficit to take down Cloud9 on Dust2, and once more faced TSM, who again gave flusha and company a run for their money, that time on Cobblestone. fnatic's journey ended in semi-finals, where the uprising G2 destroyed them on Overpass while Dust2 went to 29 rounds.

With their shaken map pool (having lost or nearly lost to big underdogs on four different maps) and overall performance, especially when looking at KRIMZ who recorded his worst LAN performance ever in London with a 0.80 rating, fnatic's chances of surviving the Group of Death in Cologne were questionable.


fnatic's résumé consists of two semi-final finishes since olof came back

Their initial loss to FaZe in Germany saw them pitted against G2 in the elimination match, but the French-Belgian squad faltered in the last minute while KRIMZ played a big part in fnatic's win on Train and also played well in both FaZe encounters. Two comfortable maps against the European mixture later (including Mirage which fnatic had previously lost numerous times to lesser teams including FaZe), the Swedes advanced to playoffs and utterly destroyed Gambit in quarter-finals. 

Much like Natus Vincere beforehand, they also fell at the hands of Liquid, though in a manner quite unlike fnatic (or Liquid's previous iteration for that matter). The Swedish lineup reached 13-11 scorelines twice after getting off to bad starts (4-11 on Cache, 5-10 on Cobblestone) but conceded the last five rounds, losing 13-16 on both occasions.

fnatic travelled back to Atlanta for last week's ELEAGUE quarter-finals, where they met EnVyUs and won a close Cobblestone with the help of KRIMZ and a one-sided Dust2.

Meanwhile, Natus Vincere attended the SL i-League Invitational #1 in late May with a status of clear favourites as the only other top-ten team present in Kiev was Virtus.pro. The Ukraine-based squad couldn't live up to the expectations however, having dropped to the lower bracket first round right off the bat following a loss to Dobry&Gaming (today's Kinguin).

Their path there was a minefield, where a single misstep could have caused them to exit the competition much earlier than expected, but in the end they went all the way through to the grand final where they belonged from the start, albeit after narrow series with FlipSid3 and GODSENT. The Polish number one proved to be too hard to deal with in the end, as Natus Vincere finished in second place.


flamie's form has dipped recently, but he pulled Na`Vi through the quarters

Zeus' squad then attended ELEAGUE's Group E almost a month later with next to no official matches in between, and similarly to fnatic had trouble with two of the three teams in the group, tying series with Echo Fox (falling short on Dust2) and mousesports (losing Mirage). They picked up in time for playoffs and passed both the Americans and domestic rivals FlipSid3 without much trouble.

FlipSid3 and NiP stood in their way in Cologne's groups and Na`Vi passed both tests, the latter of which went to 16-12 on Cobblestone. Liquid in the quarter-finals proved to be much harder, the American-Ukrainian team took a chance by picking Nuke and strolled through Cobblestone with ease while flamie put in one of his worst maps ever.

Finally, it was time for ELEAGUE playoffs last week. What was expected to be a two-map affair between Na`Vi and Cloud9 went down to the wire, as the favourites barely escaped Overpass with their lives, lost Dust2 convincingly and Cobblestone went to all 30 rounds, but Na`Vi prevailed with flamie putting in solid numbers on the two won maps.

Head-to-head

The Natus Vincere-fnatic match-up is famed for its one-sidedness — the exact same lineups currently stand at an 8-2 map score (4-0 in matches) in favour of the Swedes, or 6-2 (3-0 in matches) if we disregard online results.

The first time these two lineups met on LAN was in the grand final of ESL ESEA Pro League Season 2 Finals in mid-December, which gave us one of the most exciting finishes to a best-of-five series, as the last two maps, which went fnatic's way, ended in 16-14 scorelines.

 fnatic K - D +/- ADR Rating 2.0
Sweden Jesper 'JW' WecksellJW 33 - 20 +13 107.5 1.72
Sweden Dennis 'dennis' Edmandennis 27 - 21 +6 74.6 1.13
Sweden Freddy 'KRIMZ' JohanssonKRIMZ 12 - 17 -5 58.5 0.94
Sweden Robin 'flusha' Rönnquistflusha 17 - 24 -7 86.9 0.90
Sweden Niclas 'PlesseN' PlessenPlesseN 7 - 24 -17 42.3 0.44
 Natus Vincere K - D +/- ADR Rating 2.0
Russia Denis 'seized' Kostinseized 25 - 19 +6 99.7 1.36
Russia Egor 'flamie' Vasilyevflamie 28 - 18 +10 86.5 1.26
Ukraine Ioann 'Edward' SukharievEdward 18 - 21 -3 68.2 1.01
Ukraine Danylo 'Zeus' TeslenkoZeus 18 - 19 -1 70.3 0.99
Slovakia Ladislav 'GuardiaN' KovácsGuardiaN 17 - 19 -2 62.7 0.92

Since then the two squads only played two matches on LAN against each other: a clear-cut series at SL i-League StarSeries XIV Finals in January (Dust2 16-3, Cobblestone 16-7) and a 16-10 Dust2 in IEM Katowice's group stage in April.

In fact, we haven't seen these lineups play each other for almost five months, as they either didn't take part in the same tournaments (some due to GuardiaN's and olofmeister's injuries) or avoided each other when they did.

 fnatic K - D +/- ADR Rating 1.0
Sweden Olof 'olofmeister' Kajbjerolofmeister 176 - 126 +50 11.3 1.30
Sweden Robin 'flusha' Rönnquistflusha 133 - 123 +10 11.5 1.05
Sweden Dennis 'dennis' Edmandennis 142 - 127 +15 6.2 1.03
Sweden Jesper 'JW' WecksellJW 134 - 129 +5 8.1 0.98
Sweden Freddy 'KRIMZ' JohanssonKRIMZ 124 - 114 +10 12.0 0.98
 Natus Vincere K - D +/- ADR Rating 1.0
Russia Egor 'flamie' Vasilyevflamie 138 - 142 -4 11.7 0.97
Slovakia Ladislav 'GuardiaN' KovácsGuardiaN 126 - 139 -13 8.3 0.92
Russia Denis 'seized' Kostinseized 119 - 134 -15 9.4 0.89
Ukraine Danylo 'Zeus' TeslenkoZeus 120 - 147 -27 11.1 0.86
Ukraine Ioann 'Edward' SukharievEdward 116 - 148 -32 7.4 0.82

Combined stats from all ten maps between the two lineups, dating back to November 2015

When we take a look at the table above, we can see olofmeister takes over the match-up completely. Out of the ten maps, he only dipped significantly below a 1.00 rating once, on Train in the aforementioned best-of-five.

It comes as no surprise that the two best-performing players from fnatic in this match-up are also the two with the highest opening duel win percentage: dennis recorded 29-18 (62%) and olofmeister is sitting at 39-29 (57%). What's even more impressive is that the latter took part in by far the most opening duels (68), even over the highly-mobile JW who placed second in that regard with 58 opening duels.

While fnatic have four out of five players in the plus in the opening duel ratio, only flamie was able to pass the 50% from Na`Vi's players with 23-20 (53%), provided he understandably has the lowest amount of opening duels from his team.

Lastly, we can take a look at the maps that are the most likely to come out of this series. We can assume fnatic will continue on the path of vetoing Nuke instantly, while Natus Vincere always take out Cache. I imagine the Swedes will be happy to take Dust2, especially considering GuardiaN and company barely played it and lost to both Echo Fox and Cloud9 on it recently, and Na`Vi will take Overpass for themselves.

Overpass and Nuke could be swapped, since fnatic got recently spanked on the former by G2, but they haven't played the new Nuke yet, and so it comes down to whether they're confident enough to let it through in a big match. I can't see Mirage going through, both teams aren't very comfortable with it at the moment, and so it'll come down to either Cobblestone or Train as the decider, depending on who bans Mirage.

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Slovakia Ladislav 'GuardiaN' Kovács
Ladislav 'GuardiaN' Kovács
Age:
27
Team:
Rating 1.0:
1.14
Maps played:
1215
KPR:
0.76
DPR:
0.62
APR:
0.11
Sweden Jesper 'JW' Wecksell
Jesper 'JW' Wecksell
Age:
23
Team:
Rating 1.0:
1.08
Maps played:
1349
KPR:
0.75
DPR:
0.68
APR:
0.14
Russia Denis 'seized' Kostin
Denis 'seized' Kostin
Age:
23
Team:
No team
Rating 1.0:
0.99
Maps played:
1148
KPR:
0.68
DPR:
0.67
APR:
0.16
Ukraine Ioann 'Edward' Sukhariev
Ioann 'Edward' Sukhariev
Age:
30
Rating 1.0:
1.02
Maps played:
1202
KPR:
0.70
DPR:
0.67
APR:
0.13
Ukraine Danylo 'Zeus' Teslenko
Danylo 'Zeus' Teslenko
Age:
30
Rating 1.0:
0.93
Maps played:
1216
KPR:
0.64
DPR:
0.69
APR:
0.17
Sweden Freddy 'KRIMZ' Johansson
Freddy 'KRIMZ' Johansson
Age:
24
Team:
Rating 1.0:
1.07
Maps played:
1129
KPR:
0.71
DPR:
0.63
APR:
0.15
Russia Egor 'flamie' Vasilyev
Egor 'flamie' Vasilyev
Age:
21
Rating 1.0:
1.06
Maps played:
1028
KPR:
0.73
DPR:
0.67
APR:
0.14
Sweden Robin 'flusha' Rönnquist
Robin 'flusha' Rönnquist
Age:
25
Team:
Rating 1.0:
1.08
Maps played:
1353
KPR:
0.73
DPR:
0.65
APR:
0.18
Sweden Olof 'olofmeister' Kajbjer
Olof 'olofmeister' Kajbjer
Age:
26
Team:
Rating 1.0:
1.11
Maps played:
1084
KPR:
0.76
DPR:
0.65
APR:
0.14
Sweden Dennis 'dennis' Edman
Dennis 'dennis' Edman
Age:
27
Team:
Rating 1.0:
1.05
Maps played:
828
KPR:
0.73
DPR:
0.68
APR:
0.13
easy for fnatic
2016-07-27 18:16
LMAO SO EZ 4 NAVI
2016-07-27 18:16
#68
dktenso | 
Brazil lgzn 
kinda poetic. this is the last time that we will see both teams with these rosters. they will change for the better.
2016-07-27 20:28
Lul And what about players that are going to leave and join to both teams?
2016-07-27 20:41
so you have s1mple on navi and Disco Doplan on fnatic Confirmed
2016-07-27 21:18
And -Zeus -Jw?
2016-07-28 08:03
- Starix - vuggo
2016-07-28 14:09
And who will be the coach of fnatic? xD
2016-07-28 16:46
ENCE eSports
2016-07-28 20:16
Disco Doplan
2016-07-29 00:46
Nice rofl, man xd
2016-07-29 08:42
#24
oskar | 
Czech Republic Lukooo 
wow how can u be that fast?
2016-07-27 18:17
if you know what i mean so fast with those hands
2016-07-27 18:24
ENCE
2016-07-27 18:33
Thats what his gf asked him
2016-07-27 19:09
#119
 | 
Germany beerbear 
gf? replace it with sister.
2016-07-29 09:13
feelsbadman
2016-07-27 18:16
ok nice
2016-07-27 18:16
gg
2016-07-27 18:16
im bugging hltv
2016-07-27 18:16
#41
 | 
Portugal NabasKi 
i aren't think that
2016-07-27 18:37
Ez for s1mple
2016-07-27 18:16
n1
2016-07-27 18:16
k
2016-07-27 18:16
nice
2016-07-27 18:17
o
2016-07-27 18:16
#12
NiKo | 
Albania swikzie 
gl
2016-07-27 18:16
#13
axoN | 
Portugal rageNator 
N1
2016-07-27 18:16
#14
 | 
Sweden TutsiGOD 
k
2016-07-27 18:16
#15
oskar | 
Czech Republic Lukooo 
HI
2016-07-27 18:16
#16
sadboys | 
Sweden bIadee 
cool
2016-07-27 18:16
#18
 | 
Netherlands odd_mongoose 
gl fnatic
2016-07-27 18:17
shit im l8
2016-07-27 18:16
#21
 | 
Russia Reph 
VOLODYA!!!
2016-07-27 18:16
Expected
2016-07-27 18:16
#23
 | 
Brazil BuddyINSANE 
Good luck to both!
2016-07-27 18:17
izi navi 25th
2016-07-27 18:17
ez for no skin color
2016-07-27 18:17
ez fnatic
2016-07-27 18:17
#28
Israel RLOL 
Ez for Guardian And Seized
2016-07-27 18:18
ez flamie
2016-07-27 18:19
#30
 | 
Ukraine gungrave 
ez for fnatic :(
2016-07-27 18:21
#31
 | 
Sweden godname 
last lan tournament for navi and fnatic with these lineup´s GL both teams
2016-07-27 18:22
lmaoo
2016-07-27 18:43
lmaoo
2016-07-27 20:42
#83
Edward | 
Moldova flymans 
:*( Don't make me cry plz
2016-07-27 22:52
Why do u think so?
2016-07-28 09:30
Navi disband because they're dogshit.
2016-07-28 14:12
ok
2016-07-29 09:10
mirage is navi's best map retard
2016-07-27 18:22
#46
 | 
Italy Growl 
I think you are stuck in 2k15 my friend
2016-07-27 18:50
will be 2:0 for NA'VI
2016-07-27 18:22
fntc EZ
2016-07-27 18:26
starts in 2 days, 4 hours. early preview
2016-07-27 18:29
navi
2016-07-27 18:37
#42
Europe bueR 
ez Na'Vi. C'mon Guardian carry this shit!
2016-07-27 18:41
all last events it seems like the rest 4 carried this ShitdiaN. sry for the truth.
2016-07-28 00:34
did I say anything otherwise? the reason of my whole post is BECAUSE he has been shit last events.
2016-07-28 20:14
what a joke of a league.
2016-07-27 18:47
#45
 | 
Latvia Andrievs 
NaVi aren't training - they are traveling through USA in sportscars. So easy for fnatic.
2016-07-27 18:49
Source?
2016-07-27 19:27
#97
 | 
Latvia Andrievs 
Zeus's youtube.
2016-07-28 10:58
They stopped their travelling yesterday. So they have the time.
2016-07-27 20:47
#98
 | 
Latvia Andrievs 
1.5 days isn't nearly enough if you are going against fnatic!
2016-07-28 10:59
Ok. Let's count the days :D 26, 27, 28, 29(morning) I've counted 3.5 days And yep, I think they CAN prepare to fight against fnatic
2016-07-28 16:48
#111
 | 
Latvia Andrievs 
They are ending the trip today... Your math needs work dude!
2016-07-29 00:00
can hltv stop trying to hype up these games? like srsly last time they tried this Vp ass raped throatgaggers.net'd NiP
2016-07-27 18:51
#48
 | 
Italy Growl 
Yep... And fnatic will probably slaughter navi this time aswell. Hopefully we get vp-fnatic in finals so its a sick classic match Also vp will win eleague
2016-07-27 18:54
srupid detected
2016-07-27 19:36
#66
 | 
Italy Growl 
Clearly you know more than me about the scene so tell me who is gonna win eleague? We'll see who is right
2016-07-27 20:13
NAVI ofc
2016-07-27 21:48
#79
 | 
Italy Growl 
Rofl ok we'll see
2016-07-27 21:49
#84
Edward | 
Moldova flymans 
Sure
2016-07-27 22:53
#123
 | 
Italy Growl 
Looks like you were wrong
2016-07-31 00:03
+1 i see
2016-07-31 00:05
#125
 | 
Italy Growl 
Even if vp chokes to death and actually loses i still predicted fnatic > navi right You sir have been rekt by a pizza
2016-07-31 00:05
ohh why? now you show me how retard you are!!! -1
2016-07-31 00:07
#127
 | 
Italy Growl 
Die
2016-07-31 00:11
so retard :/ go eat pizza
2016-07-31 00:18
#129
 | 
Italy Growl 
Mad cuz no csgo knowledge Vp will win eleague They did EZ NAVI MY FRIEND
2016-07-31 00:21
i am mad? ahahahahahahahaha "die" "...chokes to death..." "r...ekt" u so fking retard, please xD
2016-07-31 00:24
Na`Vi - fnatic is more classic match. newfag
2016-07-28 00:41
#90
 | 
Italy Growl 
I think you are still living in 2010
2016-07-28 00:42
last match for this navi lineup [*]
2016-07-27 18:54
#64
woxic | 
Turkey CHAMPTZ 
last match for JW [*]
2016-07-27 20:00
VP VS FNATIC :))
2016-07-27 18:59
#51
 | 
Poland trancemeister 
2-0 Fnatic :-(
2016-07-27 19:01
#52
Sweden JKLY 
Fnatic win
2016-07-27 19:05
#53
 | 
Russia skipster 
FeelsBadMan;( CIS RIP TIME
2016-07-27 19:05
fnatic ofc
2016-07-27 19:07
#56
s1 | 
Armenia gr1nch 
Olof 'olofmeister' Kajbjer 217-147 +70 99.8 1.33
2016-07-27 19:12
he's god my friend. ;)
2016-07-27 19:19
#59
 | 
Bulgaria kr9ptonn 
Olof 'olofmeister' Kajbjer 217-147 +70 99.8 1.33 ez fnatic 2-0
2016-07-27 19:28
#60
 | 
Macedonia AstralisGoat 
Guardian is notoriously awful against Fnatic, this is an easy 2-0 for Fnatic, Na'vi have no chance in this match.
2016-07-27 19:28
#121
 | 
Slovakia Denysis 
Just look on combined stats. What more do you want him to do? He also needs help from his teammates. And nowadays all of us know he is not in good form. And yeah he is "notoriously awful against Fnatic" - youtube.com/watch?v=AESw4r7Ry3A
2016-07-29 16:10
#122
 | 
Macedonia AstralisGoat 
Sorry he is notoriously awful against Fnatic on LAN, I should of clarified that, online I don't even watch or care about so I wouldn't know about those games or even care about them in anyway.
2016-07-29 20:21
#65
 | 
France herdzort 
2-1 Na'Vi inc
2016-07-27 20:00
#67
Portugal jO7A 
ez tournament for fnatic.
2016-07-27 20:14
yeah, like previous Major. it was "very easy" too. oh w8, Liquid just trampled them like shit.
2016-07-28 00:33
Na'Vi 4Head
2016-07-27 21:38
#80
Reunion 3ldK 
Semi-final? No chance for fnatic
2016-07-27 21:54
#81
 | 
Brazil neyzambo 
GG FNATIC
2016-07-27 22:20
#82
 | 
Brazil Levexx 
2-0 fnatic
2016-07-27 22:47
normally fnatic, given the rumors going around though, who knows
2016-07-27 23:06
what rumors?
2016-07-29 09:11
2-0 for Na`Vi
2016-07-28 00:32
#91
 | 
Sweden lagcats 
fnatic ezpz
2016-07-28 00:42
#92
 | 
Russia ZippSluvik 
Fnatic will win
2016-07-28 01:35
so ez for FNATIC 2-0
2016-07-28 06:03
50/50
2016-07-28 08:33
2:1 for fnatic.
2016-07-28 11:03
eazy for navi (2:1)
2016-07-28 12:32
lol.. When is the match>? Why Navi vs Fnatic, cos Virtus pro better than both teams. but they dpon';t have sponsors for this champ. As always Polands best in all, but we don;t have money to prove it
2016-07-28 16:58
ez or AdreN -EZ-
2016-07-28 17:26
#108
 | 
Ukraine VenTura7 
ez for NA'VI
2016-07-28 19:33
even though fnatic is in a bad form they are navis kryptonite they should take this
2016-07-29 05:22
2-1 for Navi will be a butt clencher
2016-07-29 07:21
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